Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, supported by his unopposed primary win, substantial fundraising advantage of roughly five-to-one over Democrat Don Leonard, and the district’s Republican-leaning partisan voter index. Recent Hart Research polling from June and August showed Carey ahead by modest margins amid a multi-candidate field that includes a Libertarian, aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Likely or Solid Republican. Leonard’s narrow primary victory and emphasis on economic and healthcare issues have kept the race somewhat competitive in surveys, but the combination of incumbency, resource disparity, and underlying district trends continues to anchor trader consensus around Carey’s higher implied probability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre OH-15
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre OH-15
$12,672 Vol.
$12,672 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Mike Carey (R)
78%
Don Leonard (D)
21%
$12,672 Vol.
$12,672 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Mike Carey (R)
$4,947 Vol.
78%
Don Leonard (D)
$7,725 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, supported by his unopposed primary win, substantial fundraising advantage of roughly five-to-one over Democrat Don Leonard, and the district’s Republican-leaning partisan voter index. Recent Hart Research polling from June and August showed Carey ahead by modest margins amid a multi-candidate field that includes a Libertarian, aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Likely or Solid Republican. Leonard’s narrow primary victory and emphasis on economic and healthcare issues have kept the race somewhat competitive in surveys, but the combination of incumbency, resource disparity, and underlying district trends continues to anchor trader consensus around Carey’s higher implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$12,672Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, supported by his unopposed primary win, substantial fundraising advantage of roughly five-to-one over Democrat Don Leonard, and the district’s Republican-leaning partisan voter index. Recent Hart Research polling from June and August showed Carey ahead by modest margins amid a multi-candidate field that includes a Libertarian, aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Likely or Solid Republican. Leonard’s narrow primary victory and emphasis on economic and healthcare issues have kept the race somewhat competitive in surveys, but the combination of incumbency, resource disparity, and underlying district trends continues to anchor trader consensus around Carey’s higher implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,672Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, supported by his unopposed primary win, substantial fundraising advantage of roughly five-to-one over Democrat Don Leonard, and the district’s Republican-leaning partisan voter index. Recent Hart Research polling from June and August showed Carey ahead by modest margins amid a multi-candidate field that includes a Libertarian, aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Likely or Solid Republican. Leonard’s narrow primary victory and emphasis on economic and healthcare issues have kept the race somewhat competitive in surveys, but the combination of incumbency, resource disparity, and underlying district trends continues to anchor trader consensus around Carey’s higher implied probability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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