Elon Musk’s September 2 announcement that Grok 4.7 “comes out in 10 days” anchors trader sentiment, with the 2.1-trillion-parameter model described as an across-the-board upgrade over the August 12 Grok 4.6 release and further trained on proprietary SpaceX engineering data. The tight clustering of probabilities around September 12–15 reflects uncertainty over exact rollout timing, consistent with xAI’s rapid cadence and occasional slippage in Musk timelines. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and OpenAI, plus expectations for strong real-world engineering benchmarks, reinforces the market’s near-certainty of a September launch while the slight edge for the 15th captures typical last-mile integration or staged-deployment buffers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour17 septembre 37.6%
12 septembre 31.1%
15 septembre 30.6%
16 septembre 30.6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 sept. 2026
10 septembre
1%
11 septembre
25%
12 septembre
31%
13 septembre
1%
14 septembre
29%
15 septembre
31%
16 septembre
31%
17 septembre
38%
18 septembre
23%
19 septembre
1%
20 septembre
1%
21 septembre
1%
22 septembre
3%
23 septembre
6%
24 septembre
3%
25 septembre
1%
26 septembre
<1%
27 septembre
<1%
28 septembre
12%
29 septembre
1%
30 septembre
1%
Aucune version avant le 30 septembre
2%
17 septembre 37.6%
12 septembre 31.1%
15 septembre 30.6%
16 septembre 30.6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 sept. 2026
10 septembre
$202 Vol.
1%
11 septembre
$308 Vol.
25%
12 septembre
$550 Vol.
31%
13 septembre
$322 Vol.
1%
14 septembre
$205 Vol.
29%
15 septembre
$257 Vol.
31%
16 septembre
$215 Vol.
31%
17 septembre
$215 Vol.
38%
18 septembre
$411 Vol.
23%
19 septembre
$530 Vol.
1%
20 septembre
$505 Vol.
1%
21 septembre
$505 Vol.
1%
22 septembre
$345 Vol.
3%
23 septembre
$572 Vol.
6%
24 septembre
$345 Vol.
3%
25 septembre
$505 Vol.
1%
26 septembre
$505 Vol.
<1%
27 septembre
$505 Vol.
<1%
28 septembre
$379 Vol.
12%
29 septembre
$379 Vol.
1%
30 septembre
$505 Vol.
1%
Aucune version avant le 30 septembre
$345 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Elon Musk’s September 2 announcement that Grok 4.7 “comes out in 10 days” anchors trader sentiment, with the 2.1-trillion-parameter model described as an across-the-board upgrade over the August 12 Grok 4.6 release and further trained on proprietary SpaceX engineering data. The tight clustering of probabilities around September 12–15 reflects uncertainty over exact rollout timing, consistent with xAI’s rapid cadence and occasional slippage in Musk timelines. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and OpenAI, plus expectations for strong real-world engineering benchmarks, reinforces the market’s near-certainty of a September launch while the slight edge for the 15th captures typical last-mile integration or staged-deployment buffers.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
Volume
$8,777Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Elon Musk’s September 2 announcement that Grok 4.7 “comes out in 10 days” anchors trader sentiment, with the 2.1-trillion-parameter model described as an across-the-board upgrade over the August 12 Grok 4.6 release and further trained on proprietary SpaceX engineering data. The tight clustering of probabilities around September 12–15 reflects uncertainty over exact rollout timing, consistent with xAI’s rapid cadence and occasional slippage in Musk timelines. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and OpenAI, plus expectations for strong real-world engineering benchmarks, reinforces the market’s near-certainty of a September launch while the slight edge for the 15th captures typical last-mile integration or staged-deployment buffers.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$8,777Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s September 2 announcement that Grok 4.7 “comes out in 10 days” anchors trader sentiment, with the 2.1-trillion-parameter model described as an across-the-board upgrade over the August 12 Grok 4.6 release and further trained on proprietary SpaceX engineering data. The tight clustering of probabilities around September 12–15 reflects uncertainty over exact rollout timing, consistent with xAI’s rapid cadence and occasional slippage in Musk timelines. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and OpenAI, plus expectations for strong real-world engineering benchmarks, reinforces the market’s near-certainty of a September launch while the slight edge for the 15th captures typical last-mile integration or staged-deployment buffers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes