United Russia enters the final day of the three-day Moscow Oblast Duma vote (18–20 September 2026) as the clear frontrunner, holding 36 of 50 seats from the prior cycle and benefiting from the parallel voting system that combines party-list proportional representation with single-member districts. The party’s structural advantages include incumbency under Governor Andrey Vorobyov, top ballot position in the region, and alignment with federal priorities during Russia’s first wartime parliamentary elections. Limited registered opposition parties, restrictions on independent and anti-war candidates, and the use of remote electronic voting have reinforced trader consensus reflected in the 98.1% implied probability. Potential shifts remain tied to official Central Election Commission tallies and any late procedural disputes, though historical patterns and current institutional controls make significant deviation unlikely before results finalize.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourUnited Russia 98.0%
Rodina <1%
New People <1%
CPRF <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
United Russia
98%
Rodina
<1%
New People
<1%
CPRF
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
LDPR
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
The Greens
<1%
United Russia 98.0%
Rodina <1%
New People <1%
CPRF <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
United Russia
$1,497 Vol.
98%
Rodina
$401 Vol.
<1%
New People
$912 Vol.
<1%
CPRF
$390 Vol.
<1%
A Just Russia
$647 Vol.
<1%
Party of Pensioners
$640 Vol.
<1%
LDPR
$395 Vol.
<1%
Yabloko
$415 Vol.
<1%
Communists of Russia
$332 Vol.
<1%
The Greens
$526 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia enters the final day of the three-day Moscow Oblast Duma vote (18–20 September 2026) as the clear frontrunner, holding 36 of 50 seats from the prior cycle and benefiting from the parallel voting system that combines party-list proportional representation with single-member districts. The party’s structural advantages include incumbency under Governor Andrey Vorobyov, top ballot position in the region, and alignment with federal priorities during Russia’s first wartime parliamentary elections. Limited registered opposition parties, restrictions on independent and anti-war candidates, and the use of remote electronic voting have reinforced trader consensus reflected in the 98.1% implied probability. Potential shifts remain tied to official Central Election Commission tallies and any late procedural disputes, though historical patterns and current institutional controls make significant deviation unlikely before results finalize.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Marché ouvert : Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Volume
$6,156Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia enters the final day of the three-day Moscow Oblast Duma vote (18–20 September 2026) as the clear frontrunner, holding 36 of 50 seats from the prior cycle and benefiting from the parallel voting system that combines party-list proportional representation with single-member districts. The party’s structural advantages include incumbency under Governor Andrey Vorobyov, top ballot position in the region, and alignment with federal priorities during Russia’s first wartime parliamentary elections. Limited registered opposition parties, restrictions on independent and anti-war candidates, and the use of remote electronic voting have reinforced trader consensus reflected in the 98.1% implied probability. Potential shifts remain tied to official Central Election Commission tallies and any late procedural disputes, though historical patterns and current institutional controls make significant deviation unlikely before results finalize.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$6,156Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...United Russia enters the final day of the three-day Moscow Oblast Duma vote (18–20 September 2026) as the clear frontrunner, holding 36 of 50 seats from the prior cycle and benefiting from the parallel voting system that combines party-list proportional representation with single-member districts. The party’s structural advantages include incumbency under Governor Andrey Vorobyov, top ballot position in the region, and alignment with federal priorities during Russia’s first wartime parliamentary elections. Limited registered opposition parties, restrictions on independent and anti-war candidates, and the use of remote electronic voting have reinforced trader consensus reflected in the 98.1% implied probability. Potential shifts remain tied to official Central Election Commission tallies and any late procedural disputes, though historical patterns and current institutional controls make significant deviation unlikely before results finalize.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes