Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured a decisive Democratic primary win on August 11, 2026, with over 80 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, while Republican John Nagel emerged from his party's primary to face her in the November 3 general election. Minnesota's 5th congressional district has shown consistent strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, reflected in Omar's 2024 general election margin and current race ratings from forecasters labeling it solid or safe Democratic. Omar's substantial fundraising advantage and party endorsements have further reinforced trader consensus around her position. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a major late-breaking development such as a significant ethics resolution or health event, unusually high independent candidate support from DeVelle Jackson, or an unexpected surge in Republican turnout.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMN-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MN-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$49,097 Vol.
$49,097 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Ilhan Omar (D)
98%
John Nagel (R)
1%
$49,097 Vol.
$49,097 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Ilhan Omar (D)
$18,221 Vol.
98%
John Nagel (R)
$30,876 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured a decisive Democratic primary win on August 11, 2026, with over 80 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, while Republican John Nagel emerged from his party's primary to face her in the November 3 general election. Minnesota's 5th congressional district has shown consistent strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, reflected in Omar's 2024 general election margin and current race ratings from forecasters labeling it solid or safe Democratic. Omar's substantial fundraising advantage and party endorsements have further reinforced trader consensus around her position. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a major late-breaking development such as a significant ethics resolution or health event, unusually high independent candidate support from DeVelle Jackson, or an unexpected surge in Republican turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$49,097Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured a decisive Democratic primary win on August 11, 2026, with over 80 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, while Republican John Nagel emerged from his party's primary to face her in the November 3 general election. Minnesota's 5th congressional district has shown consistent strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, reflected in Omar's 2024 general election margin and current race ratings from forecasters labeling it solid or safe Democratic. Omar's substantial fundraising advantage and party endorsements have further reinforced trader consensus around her position. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a major late-breaking development such as a significant ethics resolution or health event, unusually high independent candidate support from DeVelle Jackson, or an unexpected surge in Republican turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$49,097Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured a decisive Democratic primary win on August 11, 2026, with over 80 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, while Republican John Nagel emerged from his party's primary to face her in the November 3 general election. Minnesota's 5th congressional district has shown consistent strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, reflected in Omar's 2024 general election margin and current race ratings from forecasters labeling it solid or safe Democratic. Omar's substantial fundraising advantage and party endorsements have further reinforced trader consensus around her position. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a major late-breaking development such as a significant ethics resolution or health event, unusually high independent candidate support from DeVelle Jackson, or an unexpected surge in Republican turnout.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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