The Michigan 7th congressional district remains one of the nation's closest House races heading into the November 2026 general election, with traders pricing Tom Barrett and William Lawrence at even odds. Barrett, the first-term Republican incumbent, benefits from the district's Republican-leaning fundamentals, including its performance in the 2024 presidential contest, while Lawrence, the progressive Democratic nominee who won an August primary against two more moderate rivals, draws strength from strong grassroots organization and turnout potential in the Lansing-centered area. Forecasters rate the seat a toss-up, reflecting narrow polling margins and the district's history of competitive outcomes. Key factors that could shift sentiment include campaign spending patterns, independent voter movement, and any late-cycle national political developments affecting turnout in this battleground.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$20,426 Vol.
$20,426 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Tom Barrett (R)
49%
William Lawrence (D)
49%
$20,426 Vol.
$20,426 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Tom Barrett (R)
$6,974 Vol.
49%
William Lawrence (D)
$13,452 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Michigan 7th congressional district remains one of the nation's closest House races heading into the November 2026 general election, with traders pricing Tom Barrett and William Lawrence at even odds. Barrett, the first-term Republican incumbent, benefits from the district's Republican-leaning fundamentals, including its performance in the 2024 presidential contest, while Lawrence, the progressive Democratic nominee who won an August primary against two more moderate rivals, draws strength from strong grassroots organization and turnout potential in the Lansing-centered area. Forecasters rate the seat a toss-up, reflecting narrow polling margins and the district's history of competitive outcomes. Key factors that could shift sentiment include campaign spending patterns, independent voter movement, and any late-cycle national political developments affecting turnout in this battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$20,426Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Michigan 7th congressional district remains one of the nation's closest House races heading into the November 2026 general election, with traders pricing Tom Barrett and William Lawrence at even odds. Barrett, the first-term Republican incumbent, benefits from the district's Republican-leaning fundamentals, including its performance in the 2024 presidential contest, while Lawrence, the progressive Democratic nominee who won an August primary against two more moderate rivals, draws strength from strong grassroots organization and turnout potential in the Lansing-centered area. Forecasters rate the seat a toss-up, reflecting narrow polling margins and the district's history of competitive outcomes. Key factors that could shift sentiment include campaign spending patterns, independent voter movement, and any late-cycle national political developments affecting turnout in this battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,426Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...The Michigan 7th congressional district remains one of the nation's closest House races heading into the November 2026 general election, with traders pricing Tom Barrett and William Lawrence at even odds. Barrett, the first-term Republican incumbent, benefits from the district's Republican-leaning fundamentals, including its performance in the 2024 presidential contest, while Lawrence, the progressive Democratic nominee who won an August primary against two more moderate rivals, draws strength from strong grassroots organization and turnout potential in the Lansing-centered area. Forecasters rate the seat a toss-up, reflecting narrow polling margins and the district's history of competitive outcomes. Key factors that could shift sentiment include campaign spending patterns, independent voter movement, and any late-cycle national political developments affecting turnout in this battleground.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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