Incumbent Sharice Davids holds a commanding lead in the Kansas 3rd congressional district race due to her established record of double-digit victories, including a 10.8-point margin in 2024, combined with strong primary performance where she defeated a Democratic challenger 83% to 17% on August 4. The district's partisan lean and forecaster ratings as Solid or Likely Democratic further support trader consensus around her reelection. Recent developments, such as Davids securing an $8.3 million federal grant for teacher recruitment and retention announced September 9, reinforce her position through visible constituent-focused actions. Limited public polling and modest Republican challenger Eric Jenkins' fundraising constrain shifts in sentiment. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a significant national Republican midterm surge, late-campaign developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, or unforeseen personal or legal issues for the incumbent.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourKS-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
KS-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$29,738 Vol.
$29,738 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Sharice Davids (D)
95%
Eric Jenkins (R)
6%
$29,738 Vol.
$29,738 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Sharice Davids (D)
$11,466 Vol.
95%
Eric Jenkins (R)
$18,273 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sharice Davids holds a commanding lead in the Kansas 3rd congressional district race due to her established record of double-digit victories, including a 10.8-point margin in 2024, combined with strong primary performance where she defeated a Democratic challenger 83% to 17% on August 4. The district's partisan lean and forecaster ratings as Solid or Likely Democratic further support trader consensus around her reelection. Recent developments, such as Davids securing an $8.3 million federal grant for teacher recruitment and retention announced September 9, reinforce her position through visible constituent-focused actions. Limited public polling and modest Republican challenger Eric Jenkins' fundraising constrain shifts in sentiment. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a significant national Republican midterm surge, late-campaign developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, or unforeseen personal or legal issues for the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$29,738Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sharice Davids holds a commanding lead in the Kansas 3rd congressional district race due to her established record of double-digit victories, including a 10.8-point margin in 2024, combined with strong primary performance where she defeated a Democratic challenger 83% to 17% on August 4. The district's partisan lean and forecaster ratings as Solid or Likely Democratic further support trader consensus around her reelection. Recent developments, such as Davids securing an $8.3 million federal grant for teacher recruitment and retention announced September 9, reinforce her position through visible constituent-focused actions. Limited public polling and modest Republican challenger Eric Jenkins' fundraising constrain shifts in sentiment. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a significant national Republican midterm surge, late-campaign developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, or unforeseen personal or legal issues for the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,738Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sharice Davids holds a commanding lead in the Kansas 3rd congressional district race due to her established record of double-digit victories, including a 10.8-point margin in 2024, combined with strong primary performance where she defeated a Democratic challenger 83% to 17% on August 4. The district's partisan lean and forecaster ratings as Solid or Likely Democratic further support trader consensus around her reelection. Recent developments, such as Davids securing an $8.3 million federal grant for teacher recruitment and retention announced September 9, reinforce her position through visible constituent-focused actions. Limited public polling and modest Republican challenger Eric Jenkins' fundraising constrain shifts in sentiment. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a significant national Republican midterm surge, late-campaign developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, or unforeseen personal or legal issues for the incumbent.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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