**Trader consensus on "No" at 97% reflects strong polling and fundraising advantages for incumbent Jon Ossoff in Georgia’s November 2026 Senate race against Republican Mike Collins.** Recent surveys show Ossoff ahead by an average of 6–8 points, with ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classifying the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic. Ossoff’s consistent leads, substantial campaign resources, and positioning in a state that remains competitive but has trended toward Democrats in recent Senate contests underpin expectations that he will retain his seat through year-end. Raphael Warnock’s term extends to 2028, reducing near-term departure risk absent resignation. Realistic factors that could still shift outcomes include late-campaign developments, turnout surprises in this purple state, or unforeseen events affecting either senator before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
3% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
Oui
3% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.**Trader consensus on "No" at 97% reflects strong polling and fundraising advantages for incumbent Jon Ossoff in Georgia’s November 2026 Senate race against Republican Mike Collins.** Recent surveys show Ossoff ahead by an average of 6–8 points, with ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classifying the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic. Ossoff’s consistent leads, substantial campaign resources, and positioning in a state that remains competitive but has trended toward Democrats in recent Senate contests underpin expectations that he will retain his seat through year-end. Raphael Warnock’s term extends to 2028, reducing near-term departure risk absent resignation.
Realistic factors that could still shift outcomes include late-campaign developments, turnout surprises in this purple state, or unforeseen events affecting either senator before resolution.
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Marché ouvert : Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ET
Volume
$1,184Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.**Trader consensus on "No" at 97% reflects strong polling and fundraising advantages for incumbent Jon Ossoff in Georgia’s November 2026 Senate race against Republican Mike Collins.** Recent surveys show Ossoff ahead by an average of 6–8 points, with ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classifying the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic. Ossoff’s consistent leads, substantial campaign resources, and positioning in a state that remains competitive but has trended toward Democrats in recent Senate contests underpin expectations that he will retain his seat through year-end. Raphael Warnock’s term extends to 2028, reducing near-term departure risk absent resignation.
Realistic factors that could still shift outcomes include late-campaign developments, turnout surprises in this purple state, or unforeseen events affecting either senator before resolution.
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Volume
$1,184Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus on "No" at 97% reflects strong polling and fundraising advantages for incumbent Jon Ossoff in Georgia’s November 2026 Senate race against Republican Mike Collins.** Recent surveys show Ossoff ahead by an average of 6–8 points, with ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classifying the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic. Ossoff’s consistent leads, substantial campaign resources, and positioning in a state that remains competitive but has trended toward Democrats in recent Senate contests underpin expectations that he will retain his seat through year-end. Raphael Warnock’s term extends to 2028, reducing near-term departure risk absent resignation. Realistic factors that could still shift outcomes include late-campaign developments, turnout surprises in this purple state, or unforeseen events affecting either senator before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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