Several 2026 Senate races remain highly competitive with projected margins under a few points, driven by a Democratic-leaning national environment reflected in generic ballot averages of 5–7 points and recent polling aggregates. Key battlegrounds include North Carolina’s open seat, where former Governor Roy Cooper leads Republican Michael Whatley; Maine, pitting incumbent Susan Collins against Troy Jackson; Ohio’s special election featuring Sherrod Brown versus Jon Husted; Texas between Ken Paxton and James Talarico; Alaska’s Dan Sullivan versus Mary Peltola; and Michigan’s open seat with Abdul El-Sayed facing Mike Rogers. These contests feature open seats from retirements, strong challengers, and state-level dynamics that amplify small national shifts. Early voting begins soon ahead of the November 3 election, with limited time for major developments to alter trajectories in these toss-ups.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Ohio (Special)
53%
Maine
21%
Texas
19%
Alaska
17%
New Hampshire
16%
Michigan
15%
Minnesota
11%
Georgia
9%
North Carolina
7%
New Mexico
4%
Colorado
4%
Montana
3%
Virginia
2%
Iowa
37%
Nebraska
48%
Florida (Special)
46%
$2,912 Vol.
Ohio (Special)
$84 Vol.
53%
Maine
$18 Vol.
21%
Texas
$52 Vol.
19%
Alaska
$208 Vol.
17%
New Hampshire
$269 Vol.
16%
Michigan
$177 Vol.
15%
Minnesota
$109 Vol.
11%
Georgia
$0 Vol.
9%
North Carolina
$189 Vol.
7%
New Mexico
$274 Vol.
4%
Colorado
$945 Vol.
4%
Montana
$154 Vol.
3%
Virginia
$157 Vol.
2%
Iowa
$100 Vol.
37%
Nebraska
$106 Vol.
48%
Florida (Special)
$70 Vol.
46%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 Senate races remain highly competitive with projected margins under a few points, driven by a Democratic-leaning national environment reflected in generic ballot averages of 5–7 points and recent polling aggregates. Key battlegrounds include North Carolina’s open seat, where former Governor Roy Cooper leads Republican Michael Whatley; Maine, pitting incumbent Susan Collins against Troy Jackson; Ohio’s special election featuring Sherrod Brown versus Jon Husted; Texas between Ken Paxton and James Talarico; Alaska’s Dan Sullivan versus Mary Peltola; and Michigan’s open seat with Abdul El-Sayed facing Mike Rogers. These contests feature open seats from retirements, strong challengers, and state-level dynamics that amplify small national shifts. Early voting begins soon ahead of the November 3 election, with limited time for major developments to alter trajectories in these toss-ups.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Volume
$2,912Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 4:06 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 Senate races remain highly competitive with projected margins under a few points, driven by a Democratic-leaning national environment reflected in generic ballot averages of 5–7 points and recent polling aggregates. Key battlegrounds include North Carolina’s open seat, where former Governor Roy Cooper leads Republican Michael Whatley; Maine, pitting incumbent Susan Collins against Troy Jackson; Ohio’s special election featuring Sherrod Brown versus Jon Husted; Texas between Ken Paxton and James Talarico; Alaska’s Dan Sullivan versus Mary Peltola; and Michigan’s open seat with Abdul El-Sayed facing Mike Rogers. These contests feature open seats from retirements, strong challengers, and state-level dynamics that amplify small national shifts. Early voting begins soon ahead of the November 3 election, with limited time for major developments to alter trajectories in these toss-ups.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,912Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 4:06 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Several 2026 Senate races remain highly competitive with projected margins under a few points, driven by a Democratic-leaning national environment reflected in generic ballot averages of 5–7 points and recent polling aggregates. Key battlegrounds include North Carolina’s open seat, where former Governor Roy Cooper leads Republican Michael Whatley; Maine, pitting incumbent Susan Collins against Troy Jackson; Ohio’s special election featuring Sherrod Brown versus Jon Husted; Texas between Ken Paxton and James Talarico; Alaska’s Dan Sullivan versus Mary Peltola; and Michigan’s open seat with Abdul El-Sayed facing Mike Rogers. These contests feature open seats from retirements, strong challengers, and state-level dynamics that amplify small national shifts. Early voting begins soon ahead of the November 3 election, with limited time for major developments to alter trajectories in these toss-ups.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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