Iowa’s 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat, with recent presidential results showing double-digit margins for the party and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid for Republicans. Chris McGowan won his party’s nomination unopposed after endorsements from President Trump and House Republican leadership, leveraging his background as Siouxland Chamber of Commerce president, veteran, and economic development advocate to succeed retiring Representative Randy Feenstra. Democrat David Dawson, a former state representative and prosecutor, advanced from a three-candidate primary but trails significantly in fundraising and faces the district’s structural Republican advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus aligns with these factors. Late developments such as major candidate health events or unexpected national shifts could still alter the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourIA-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
IA-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$41,426 Vol.
$41,426 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Chris McGowan (R)
95%
David Dawson (D)
6%
$41,426 Vol.
$41,426 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Chris McGowan (R)
$23,845 Vol.
95%
David Dawson (D)
$17,582 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa’s 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat, with recent presidential results showing double-digit margins for the party and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid for Republicans. Chris McGowan won his party’s nomination unopposed after endorsements from President Trump and House Republican leadership, leveraging his background as Siouxland Chamber of Commerce president, veteran, and economic development advocate to succeed retiring Representative Randy Feenstra. Democrat David Dawson, a former state representative and prosecutor, advanced from a three-candidate primary but trails significantly in fundraising and faces the district’s structural Republican advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus aligns with these factors. Late developments such as major candidate health events or unexpected national shifts could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$41,426Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa’s 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat, with recent presidential results showing double-digit margins for the party and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid for Republicans. Chris McGowan won his party’s nomination unopposed after endorsements from President Trump and House Republican leadership, leveraging his background as Siouxland Chamber of Commerce president, veteran, and economic development advocate to succeed retiring Representative Randy Feenstra. Democrat David Dawson, a former state representative and prosecutor, advanced from a three-candidate primary but trails significantly in fundraising and faces the district’s structural Republican advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus aligns with these factors. Late developments such as major candidate health events or unexpected national shifts could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,426Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa’s 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat, with recent presidential results showing double-digit margins for the party and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid for Republicans. Chris McGowan won his party’s nomination unopposed after endorsements from President Trump and House Republican leadership, leveraging his background as Siouxland Chamber of Commerce president, veteran, and economic development advocate to succeed retiring Representative Randy Feenstra. Democrat David Dawson, a former state representative and prosecutor, advanced from a three-candidate primary but trails significantly in fundraising and faces the district’s structural Republican advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus aligns with these factors. Late developments such as major candidate health events or unexpected national shifts could still alter the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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