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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Huon Valley
Politique·Maire

Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Huon Valley

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Huon Valley
Politique·Maire

Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Huon Valley

Paul Gibson 30%

Sally Doyle 12.6%

Toby Thorpe 6%

Marshall Callaghan <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Paul Gibson 30%

Sally Doyle 12.6%

Toby Thorpe 6%

Marshall Callaghan <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Paul Gibson

Paul Gibson

$3,220 Vol.

30%

icon for Sally Doyle

Sally Doyle

$2,937 Vol.

13%

icon for Toby Thorpe

Toby Thorpe

$1,326 Vol.

6%

icon for Marshall Callaghan

Marshall Callaghan

$587 Vol.

<1%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The Huon Valley mayoral race ahead of Tasmania's October 27 local government elections features a broad field of candidates with no clear frontrunner, keeping implied probabilities closely matched among leading contenders. Incumbent Mayor Sally Doyle draws visibility from recent council work on planning, tourism, and community facilities, while experienced challengers including councillors Paul Gibson and Toby Thorpe plus Marshall Callaghan compete on local governance records and community ties. Nominations opened in early September with rolls closing soon after, leaving limited time for differentiation through campaign activity. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty in a compulsory postal ballot system where preference flows and turnout among enrolled voters could shift outcomes before counting begins late October.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$8,071
Date de fin
28 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The Huon Valley mayoral race ahead of Tasmania's October 27 local government elections features a broad field of candidates with no clear frontrunner, keeping implied probabilities closely matched among leading contenders. Incumbent Mayor Sally Doyle draws visibility from recent council work on planning, tourism, and community facilities, while experienced challengers including councillors Paul Gibson and Toby Thorpe plus Marshall Callaghan compete on local governance records and community ties. Nominations opened in early September with rolls closing soon after, leaving limited time for differentiation through campaign activity. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty in a compulsory postal ballot system where preference flows and turnout among enrolled voters could shift outcomes before counting begins late October.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$8,071
Date de fin
28 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

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Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Huon Valley » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Paul Gibson » à 30%, suivi de « Sally Doyle » à 13%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 30¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 30% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Huon Valley » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 3, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Huon Valley », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Huon Valley » est « Paul Gibson » à 30%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 30% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Sally Doyle » à 13%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Huon Valley » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.