The market-implied probability of 100% for a 26°C high in Milan on September 19 reflects the latest observational data and short-range forecast consensus from meteorological agencies, including surface measurements and model runs confirming peak temperatures under stable high-pressure conditions. Mid-September climatology for the region typically features daily maxima near 24–27°C, with minimal variability once diurnal heating patterns and boundary-layer mixing are established. Traders have aligned on this outcome because resolution depends on official recorded highs rather than projections, and current readings show no deviation toward thresholds that would favor adjacent bins. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated mesoscale feature, such as rapid advection of cooler air or measurement anomalies at the primary station, though such shifts become improbable as the observation window closes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Milan le 19 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Milan le 19 septembre ?
26°C 100.0%
19°C ou moins <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$43,417 Vol.
$43,417 Vol.
19 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Oui
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C ou plus
Non
26°C 100.0%
19°C ou moins <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$43,417 Vol.
$43,417 Vol.
19 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
$125 Vol.
Non
20°C
$135 Vol.
Non
21°C
$135 Vol.
Non
22°C
$2,623 Vol.
Non
23°C
$1,290 Vol.
Non
24°C
$3,816 Vol.
Non
25°C
$8,424 Vol.
Non
26°C
$8,909 Vol.
Oui
27°C
$7,665 Vol.
Non
28°C
$7,059 Vol.
Non
29°C ou plus
$3,236 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied probability of 100% for a 26°C high in Milan on September 19 reflects the latest observational data and short-range forecast consensus from meteorological agencies, including surface measurements and model runs confirming peak temperatures under stable high-pressure conditions. Mid-September climatology for the region typically features daily maxima near 24–27°C, with minimal variability once diurnal heating patterns and boundary-layer mixing are established. Traders have aligned on this outcome because resolution depends on official recorded highs rather than projections, and current readings show no deviation toward thresholds that would favor adjacent bins. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated mesoscale feature, such as rapid advection of cooler air or measurement anomalies at the primary station, though such shifts become improbable as the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$43,417Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied probability of 100% for a 26°C high in Milan on September 19 reflects the latest observational data and short-range forecast consensus from meteorological agencies, including surface measurements and model runs confirming peak temperatures under stable high-pressure conditions. Mid-September climatology for the region typically features daily maxima near 24–27°C, with minimal variability once diurnal heating patterns and boundary-layer mixing are established. Traders have aligned on this outcome because resolution depends on official recorded highs rather than projections, and current readings show no deviation toward thresholds that would favor adjacent bins. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated mesoscale feature, such as rapid advection of cooler air or measurement anomalies at the primary station, though such shifts become improbable as the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43,417Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The market-implied probability of 100% for a 26°C high in Milan on September 19 reflects the latest observational data and short-range forecast consensus from meteorological agencies, including surface measurements and model runs confirming peak temperatures under stable high-pressure conditions. Mid-September climatology for the region typically features daily maxima near 24–27°C, with minimal variability once diurnal heating patterns and boundary-layer mixing are established. Traders have aligned on this outcome because resolution depends on official recorded highs rather than projections, and current readings show no deviation toward thresholds that would favor adjacent bins. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated mesoscale feature, such as rapid advection of cooler air or measurement anomalies at the primary station, though such shifts become improbable as the observation window closes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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