Persistent cloud cover and intermittent light rain are the main factors capping daytime heating in Chengdu on September 25, with forecast models showing highs of 25–28°C amid high humidity near 80–90% and light winds under 5 km/h. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, consistent with the basin’s late-September climatology of frequent overcast skies following earlier showers. Minor model differences in the timing of any partial clearing versus continued stratiform clouds explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–29°C. No significant synoptic shift, such as stronger subsidence or drier air advection, appears in current guidance to push temperatures notably higher or lower.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 25 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 25 septembre ?
26°C 26%
27°C 26%
28°C 26%
29°C 25%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 sept. 2026
23°C ou moins
<1%
24°C
17%
25°C
20%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
25%
30°C
21%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C ou plus
<1%
26°C 26%
27°C 26%
28°C 26%
29°C 25%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 sept. 2026
23°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
17%
25°C
$0 Vol.
20%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
25%
30°C
$0 Vol.
21%
31°C
$0 Vol.
16%
32°C
$0 Vol.
4%
33°C ou plus
$256 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and intermittent light rain are the main factors capping daytime heating in Chengdu on September 25, with forecast models showing highs of 25–28°C amid high humidity near 80–90% and light winds under 5 km/h. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, consistent with the basin’s late-September climatology of frequent overcast skies following earlier showers. Minor model differences in the timing of any partial clearing versus continued stratiform clouds explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–29°C. No significant synoptic shift, such as stronger subsidence or drier air advection, appears in current guidance to push temperatures notably higher or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$256Date de fin
25 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and intermittent light rain are the main factors capping daytime heating in Chengdu on September 25, with forecast models showing highs of 25–28°C amid high humidity near 80–90% and light winds under 5 km/h. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, consistent with the basin’s late-September climatology of frequent overcast skies following earlier showers. Minor model differences in the timing of any partial clearing versus continued stratiform clouds explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–29°C. No significant synoptic shift, such as stronger subsidence or drier air advection, appears in current guidance to push temperatures notably higher or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$256Date de fin
25 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and intermittent light rain are the main factors capping daytime heating in Chengdu on September 25, with forecast models showing highs of 25–28°C amid high humidity near 80–90% and light winds under 5 km/h. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, consistent with the basin’s late-September climatology of frequent overcast skies following earlier showers. Minor model differences in the timing of any partial clearing versus continued stratiform clouds explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–29°C. No significant synoptic shift, such as stronger subsidence or drier air advection, appears in current guidance to push temperatures notably higher or lower.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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