Persistent high pressure over central Texas sustained above-normal warmth into early September 2026, with National Weather Service observations at Austin Bergstrom recording a maximum of 100°F on September 9 amid clear skies and light winds. Forecast model consensus from NOAA and local meteorological guidance projected daily highs of 98–99°F, aligning with the 8°F departure above the 1991–2020 normal of 92°F and consistent with a multi-day stretch of near- or above-100°F readings across the region. This strong scientific consensus, backed by surface observations and stable atmospheric conditions, drove the market-implied 100% probability on the 98–99°F outcome. Realistic challenges would require significant forecast revisions from unexpected convective development, increased cloud cover reducing insolation, or measurement adjustments at the official station, though such shifts remained low-probability given the verified synoptic pattern.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Austin le 9 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Austin le 9 septembre ?
98-99°F 100.0%
87°F ou moins <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$44,976 Vol.
$44,976 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
87°F ou moins
Non
88-89°F
Non
90-91°F
Non
92-93°F
Non
94-95°F
Non
96-97 °F
Non
98-99°F
Oui
100-101°F
Non
102-103°F
Non
104-105°F
Non
106°F ou plus
Non
98-99°F 100.0%
87°F ou moins <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$44,976 Vol.
$44,976 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
87°F ou moins
$739 Vol.
Non
88-89°F
$274 Vol.
Non
90-91°F
$551 Vol.
Non
92-93°F
$533 Vol.
Non
94-95°F
$2,311 Vol.
Non
96-97 °F
$6,725 Vol.
Non
98-99°F
$9,249 Vol.
Oui
100-101°F
$21,597 Vol.
Non
102-103°F
$710 Vol.
Non
104-105°F
$1,294 Vol.
Non
106°F ou plus
$992 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over central Texas sustained above-normal warmth into early September 2026, with National Weather Service observations at Austin Bergstrom recording a maximum of 100°F on September 9 amid clear skies and light winds. Forecast model consensus from NOAA and local meteorological guidance projected daily highs of 98–99°F, aligning with the 8°F departure above the 1991–2020 normal of 92°F and consistent with a multi-day stretch of near- or above-100°F readings across the region. This strong scientific consensus, backed by surface observations and stable atmospheric conditions, drove the market-implied 100% probability on the 98–99°F outcome. Realistic challenges would require significant forecast revisions from unexpected convective development, increased cloud cover reducing insolation, or measurement adjustments at the official station, though such shifts remained low-probability given the verified synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$44,976Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over central Texas sustained above-normal warmth into early September 2026, with National Weather Service observations at Austin Bergstrom recording a maximum of 100°F on September 9 amid clear skies and light winds. Forecast model consensus from NOAA and local meteorological guidance projected daily highs of 98–99°F, aligning with the 8°F departure above the 1991–2020 normal of 92°F and consistent with a multi-day stretch of near- or above-100°F readings across the region. This strong scientific consensus, backed by surface observations and stable atmospheric conditions, drove the market-implied 100% probability on the 98–99°F outcome. Realistic challenges would require significant forecast revisions from unexpected convective development, increased cloud cover reducing insolation, or measurement adjustments at the official station, though such shifts remained low-probability given the verified synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$44,976Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Persistent high pressure over central Texas sustained above-normal warmth into early September 2026, with National Weather Service observations at Austin Bergstrom recording a maximum of 100°F on September 9 amid clear skies and light winds. Forecast model consensus from NOAA and local meteorological guidance projected daily highs of 98–99°F, aligning with the 8°F departure above the 1991–2020 normal of 92°F and consistent with a multi-day stretch of near- or above-100°F readings across the region. This strong scientific consensus, backed by surface observations and stable atmospheric conditions, drove the market-implied 100% probability on the 98–99°F outcome. Realistic challenges would require significant forecast revisions from unexpected convective development, increased cloud cover reducing insolation, or measurement adjustments at the official station, though such shifts remained low-probability given the verified synoptic pattern.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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