**Forecast models and real-time observations from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daily maximum of 26°C for Chengdu on September 13, 2026.** Mid-September marks the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn conditions in the Sichuan Basin, following earlier September highs above 30°C; current atmospheric patterns, including light winds and partial cloud cover, limit further warming while preventing significant cooling. Official guidance from agencies tracking surface temperatures supports this precise peak, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability for 26°C. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include localized measurement variations at the designated station, unforecasted cloud dissipation leading to brief additional warming, or post-observation adjustments in final data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 13 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 13 septembre ?
26°C 100.0%
20°C ou moins <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$87,846 Vol.
$87,846 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Oui
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C ou plus
Non
26°C 100.0%
20°C ou moins <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$87,846 Vol.
$87,846 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
$3,248 Vol.
Non
21°C
$2,571 Vol.
Non
22°C
$21,314 Vol.
Non
23°C
$15,083 Vol.
Non
24°C
$11,884 Vol.
Non
25°C
$8,660 Vol.
Non
26°C
$10,674 Vol.
Oui
27°C
$6,647 Vol.
Non
28°C
$5,166 Vol.
Non
29°C
$1,333 Vol.
Non
30°C ou plus
$1,268 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daily maximum of 26°C for Chengdu on September 13, 2026.** Mid-September marks the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn conditions in the Sichuan Basin, following earlier September highs above 30°C; current atmospheric patterns, including light winds and partial cloud cover, limit further warming while preventing significant cooling. Official guidance from agencies tracking surface temperatures supports this precise peak, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability for 26°C.
Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include localized measurement variations at the designated station, unforecasted cloud dissipation leading to brief additional warming, or post-observation adjustments in final data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$87,846Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daily maximum of 26°C for Chengdu on September 13, 2026.** Mid-September marks the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn conditions in the Sichuan Basin, following earlier September highs above 30°C; current atmospheric patterns, including light winds and partial cloud cover, limit further warming while preventing significant cooling. Official guidance from agencies tracking surface temperatures supports this precise peak, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability for 26°C.
Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include localized measurement variations at the designated station, unforecasted cloud dissipation leading to brief additional warming, or post-observation adjustments in final data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$87,846Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Forecast models and real-time observations from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daily maximum of 26°C for Chengdu on September 13, 2026.** Mid-September marks the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn conditions in the Sichuan Basin, following earlier September highs above 30°C; current atmospheric patterns, including light winds and partial cloud cover, limit further warming while preventing significant cooling. Official guidance from agencies tracking surface temperatures supports this precise peak, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability for 26°C. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include localized measurement variations at the designated station, unforecasted cloud dissipation leading to brief additional warming, or post-observation adjustments in final data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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