Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 13th congressional district after winning the May 2026 primary with 56 percent of the vote in the open race triggered by the April death of longtime incumbent David Scott. The suburban Atlanta district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around her 96.7 percent implied probability against Republican Jonathan Chavez. Clark’s fundraising edge, established party support, and the absence of a contested GOP primary have reinforced this positioning. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unexpected scandals, health developments affecting either candidate, or unusually high Republican turnout in the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGA-13 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
GA-13 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$39,455 Vol.
$39,455 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Jasmine Clark (D)
97%
Jonathan Chavez (R)
3%
$39,455 Vol.
$39,455 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Jasmine Clark (D)
$19,979 Vol.
97%
Jonathan Chavez (R)
$19,477 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 13th congressional district after winning the May 2026 primary with 56 percent of the vote in the open race triggered by the April death of longtime incumbent David Scott. The suburban Atlanta district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around her 96.7 percent implied probability against Republican Jonathan Chavez. Clark’s fundraising edge, established party support, and the absence of a contested GOP primary have reinforced this positioning. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unexpected scandals, health developments affecting either candidate, or unusually high Republican turnout in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$39,455Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 13th congressional district after winning the May 2026 primary with 56 percent of the vote in the open race triggered by the April death of longtime incumbent David Scott. The suburban Atlanta district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around her 96.7 percent implied probability against Republican Jonathan Chavez. Clark’s fundraising edge, established party support, and the absence of a contested GOP primary have reinforced this positioning. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unexpected scandals, health developments affecting either candidate, or unusually high Republican turnout in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,455Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 13th congressional district after winning the May 2026 primary with 56 percent of the vote in the open race triggered by the April death of longtime incumbent David Scott. The suburban Atlanta district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around her 96.7 percent implied probability against Republican Jonathan Chavez. Clark’s fundraising edge, established party support, and the absence of a contested GOP primary have reinforced this positioning. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unexpected scandals, health developments affecting either candidate, or unusually high Republican turnout in the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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