Incumbent Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida's 28th congressional district due to the Republican advantages created by the state's 2026 mid-decade redistricting, which shifted the district toward stronger GOP performance. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, consistent with Giménez's 2024 reelection margin exceeding 29 points and Donald Trump's 6.5-point district win that cycle. Both candidates advanced unopposed after August primaries were canceled, limiting early momentum for Democrat Phil Ehr despite his union endorsements and repeat candidacy. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Giménez reflects these structural factors and limited polling showing a double-digit Republican edge. Late developments such as national midterm shifts, unusually low turnout, or major campaign events could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-28
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-28
$57,564 Vol.
$57,564 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Carlos Giménez (R)
94%
Phil Ehr (D)
6%
$57,564 Vol.
$57,564 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Carlos Giménez (R)
$33,834 Vol.
94%
Phil Ehr (D)
$23,731 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida's 28th congressional district due to the Republican advantages created by the state's 2026 mid-decade redistricting, which shifted the district toward stronger GOP performance. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, consistent with Giménez's 2024 reelection margin exceeding 29 points and Donald Trump's 6.5-point district win that cycle. Both candidates advanced unopposed after August primaries were canceled, limiting early momentum for Democrat Phil Ehr despite his union endorsements and repeat candidacy. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Giménez reflects these structural factors and limited polling showing a double-digit Republican edge. Late developments such as national midterm shifts, unusually low turnout, or major campaign events could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$57,564Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida's 28th congressional district due to the Republican advantages created by the state's 2026 mid-decade redistricting, which shifted the district toward stronger GOP performance. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, consistent with Giménez's 2024 reelection margin exceeding 29 points and Donald Trump's 6.5-point district win that cycle. Both candidates advanced unopposed after August primaries were canceled, limiting early momentum for Democrat Phil Ehr despite his union endorsements and repeat candidacy. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Giménez reflects these structural factors and limited polling showing a double-digit Republican edge. Late developments such as national midterm shifts, unusually low turnout, or major campaign events could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$57,564Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida's 28th congressional district due to the Republican advantages created by the state's 2026 mid-decade redistricting, which shifted the district toward stronger GOP performance. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, consistent with Giménez's 2024 reelection margin exceeding 29 points and Donald Trump's 6.5-point district win that cycle. Both candidates advanced unopposed after August primaries were canceled, limiting early momentum for Democrat Phil Ehr despite his union endorsements and repeat candidacy. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Giménez reflects these structural factors and limited polling showing a double-digit Republican edge. Late developments such as national midterm shifts, unusually low turnout, or major campaign events could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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