Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean holds a strong position in Florida’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, benefiting from the absence of a Republican primary opponent and endorsements including from President Trump. The district, which covers parts of Duval, Nassau, and Clay counties, has consistently leaned Republican, as shown by Bean’s 57.3% victory margin in 2024. Democratic nominee LaShonda Holloway secured her party’s nomination in the August 18 primary but faces a significant fundraising gap, with Bean reporting over $2 million raised compared to her roughly $27,000. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited competitive pressure and the structural advantages of incumbency in this Northeast Florida seat.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFL-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
FL-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$27,450 Vol.
$27,450 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Aaron Bean (R)
89%
LaShonda Holloway (D)
11%
$27,450 Vol.
$27,450 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Aaron Bean (R)
$16,752 Vol.
89%
LaShonda Holloway (D)
$10,698 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean holds a strong position in Florida’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, benefiting from the absence of a Republican primary opponent and endorsements including from President Trump. The district, which covers parts of Duval, Nassau, and Clay counties, has consistently leaned Republican, as shown by Bean’s 57.3% victory margin in 2024. Democratic nominee LaShonda Holloway secured her party’s nomination in the August 18 primary but faces a significant fundraising gap, with Bean reporting over $2 million raised compared to her roughly $27,000. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited competitive pressure and the structural advantages of incumbency in this Northeast Florida seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$27,450Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean holds a strong position in Florida’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, benefiting from the absence of a Republican primary opponent and endorsements including from President Trump. The district, which covers parts of Duval, Nassau, and Clay counties, has consistently leaned Republican, as shown by Bean’s 57.3% victory margin in 2024. Democratic nominee LaShonda Holloway secured her party’s nomination in the August 18 primary but faces a significant fundraising gap, with Bean reporting over $2 million raised compared to her roughly $27,000. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited competitive pressure and the structural advantages of incumbency in this Northeast Florida seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,450Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean holds a strong position in Florida’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, benefiting from the absence of a Republican primary opponent and endorsements including from President Trump. The district, which covers parts of Duval, Nassau, and Clay counties, has consistently leaned Republican, as shown by Bean’s 57.3% victory margin in 2024. Democratic nominee LaShonda Holloway secured her party’s nomination in the August 18 primary but faces a significant fundraising gap, with Bean reporting over $2 million raised compared to her roughly $27,000. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited competitive pressure and the structural advantages of incumbency in this Northeast Florida seat.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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