Jimmy Patronis holds a commanding lead in the FL-01 House race as the Republican incumbent in a district with an R+18 Partisan Voter Index, where recent presidential results have favored his party by wide margins. He secured the GOP nomination in the August 2026 primary with over 70 percent of the vote and benefits from prior Trump endorsement plus established name recognition from his earlier special election victory. Democratic nominee Gay Valimont advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a reliably Republican Panhandle seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unforeseen scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFL-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
FL-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$117,779 Vol.
$117,779 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Jimmy Patronis (R)
96%
Gay Valimont (D)
3%
$117,779 Vol.
$117,779 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Jimmy Patronis (R)
$89,099 Vol.
96%
Gay Valimont (D)
$28,680 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jimmy Patronis holds a commanding lead in the FL-01 House race as the Republican incumbent in a district with an R+18 Partisan Voter Index, where recent presidential results have favored his party by wide margins. He secured the GOP nomination in the August 2026 primary with over 70 percent of the vote and benefits from prior Trump endorsement plus established name recognition from his earlier special election victory. Democratic nominee Gay Valimont advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a reliably Republican Panhandle seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unforeseen scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$117,779Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jimmy Patronis holds a commanding lead in the FL-01 House race as the Republican incumbent in a district with an R+18 Partisan Voter Index, where recent presidential results have favored his party by wide margins. He secured the GOP nomination in the August 2026 primary with over 70 percent of the vote and benefits from prior Trump endorsement plus established name recognition from his earlier special election victory. Democratic nominee Gay Valimont advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a reliably Republican Panhandle seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unforeseen scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$117,779Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Jimmy Patronis holds a commanding lead in the FL-01 House race as the Republican incumbent in a district with an R+18 Partisan Voter Index, where recent presidential results have favored his party by wide margins. He secured the GOP nomination in the August 2026 primary with over 70 percent of the vote and benefits from prior Trump endorsement plus established name recognition from his earlier special election victory. Democratic nominee Gay Valimont advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a reliably Republican Panhandle seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unforeseen scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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