Skip to main content

Pour trader aux États-Unis, va sur polymarket.us

icon for Décision de la Fed en octobre ?
Économie·FED

Décision de la Fed en octobre ?

icon for Décision de la Fed en octobre ?
Économie·FED

Décision de la Fed en octobre ?

oct. 28

déc. 9

janv. 27, 2027

oct. 28

déc. 9

janv. 27, 2027

Hausse de 25 points de base 55%

Aucun changement 44%

Augmentation de plus de 50 points de base <1%

Baisse de 25 points de base <1%

Polymarket

$7,790,098 Vol.

Hausse de 25 points de base 55%

Aucun changement 44%

Augmentation de plus de 50 points de base <1%

Baisse de 25 points de base <1%

Polymarket

$7,790,098 Vol.

Baisse de plus de 50 points de base

$1,097,907 Vol.

<1%

Baisse de 25 points de base

$1,521,717 Vol.

1%

Aucun changement

$2,136,457 Vol.

44%

Hausse de 25 points de base

$1,773,767 Vol.

55%

Augmentation de plus de 50 points de base

$1,260,249 Vol.

1%

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent September FOMC actions and updated economic projections anchor trader positioning for the October 27-28 meeting, with the 25 basis point hike outcome leading at 54.5% implied probability versus 43.5% for no change. The Fed raised its target range to 3.75-4.00% last week on a unanimous vote, while the median dot plot shifted higher to a 4.1% year-end funds rate, reflecting officials’ view that inflation remains elevated. August CPI printed 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.4%, and the unemployment rate held at 4.1% amid steady payroll gains. These data points, combined with hawkish analyst revisions such as Goldman Sachs now forecasting an October move, have narrowed the gap between hike and hold scenarios. September CPI, due October 14, and any intervening labor-market releases represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift the market-implied odds ahead of the statement-only meeting.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.

If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$7,790,098
Date de fin
28 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 17, 2026, 7:21 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent September FOMC actions and updated economic projections anchor trader positioning for the October 27-28 meeting, with the 25 basis point hike outcome leading at 54.5% implied probability versus 43.5% for no change. The Fed raised its target range to 3.75-4.00% last week on a unanimous vote, while the median dot plot shifted higher to a 4.1% year-end funds rate, reflecting officials’ view that inflation remains elevated. August CPI printed 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.4%, and the unemployment rate held at 4.1% amid steady payroll gains. These data points, combined with hawkish analyst revisions such as Goldman Sachs now forecasting an October move, have narrowed the gap between hike and hold scenarios. September CPI, due October 14, and any intervening labor-market releases represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift the market-implied odds ahead of the statement-only meeting.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.

If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$7,790,098
Date de fin
28 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 17, 2026, 7:21 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

68%
icon for La borne supérieure du taux cible des fonds fédéraux sera-t-elle de 4,25 % à la fin de 2026 ?

La borne supérieure du taux cible des fonds fédéraux sera-t-elle de 4,25 % à la fin de 2026 ?

54%
Oui
icon for La limite supérieure de la Fed atteindra-t-elle 4,25 % ou plus avant 2027 ?

La limite supérieure de la Fed atteindra-t-elle 4,25 % ou plus avant 2027 ?

77%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Décision de la Fed en octobre ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Hausse de 25 points de base » à 55%, suivi de « Aucun changement » à 44%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 55¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 55% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Décision de la Fed en octobre ? » a généré $7.8 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jun 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Décision de la Fed en octobre ? », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Décision de la Fed en octobre ? » est « Hausse de 25 points de base » à 55%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 55% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Aucun changement » à 44%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Décision de la Fed en octobre ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.