Jerome Powell’s 14-year term as a Federal Reserve governor runs through January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026 when Kevin Warsh was confirmed and sworn in. Powell announced in April 2026 that he would remain on the board for an undetermined period to safeguard institutional independence amid Trump administration pressure, including a DOJ investigation into headquarters renovation costs that was closed in April without charges. Traders weigh the low historical precedent for an outgoing chair staying on against Powell’s explicit commitment and the absence of confirmed resignation signals through September 2026. Key near-term catalysts include any FOMC communications, congressional testimony, or administration statements that could influence his timeline, with market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over whether political dynamics or personal factors prompt an earlier exit.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJerome Powell sorti du conseil d'administration de la Fed d'ici le… ?
$446,228 Vol.
31 décembre
15%
$446,228 Vol.
31 décembre
15%
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Marché ouvert : Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s 14-year term as a Federal Reserve governor runs through January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026 when Kevin Warsh was confirmed and sworn in. Powell announced in April 2026 that he would remain on the board for an undetermined period to safeguard institutional independence amid Trump administration pressure, including a DOJ investigation into headquarters renovation costs that was closed in April without charges. Traders weigh the low historical precedent for an outgoing chair staying on against Powell’s explicit commitment and the absence of confirmed resignation signals through September 2026. Key near-term catalysts include any FOMC communications, congressional testimony, or administration statements that could influence his timeline, with market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over whether political dynamics or personal factors prompt an earlier exit.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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