**Trader sentiment on the Argentina official USD/ARS rate at end-2026 centers on the BCRA’s inflation-indexed exchange-rate band regime, which has kept the spot rate near 1,514–1,535 as of mid-September 2026.** The band’s floor and ceiling adjust monthly with lagged CPI prints, supporting reserve accumulation of over USD 7–13 billion year-to-date while limiting depreciation to roughly the pace of disinflation. Annual inflation has fallen to the low-30s percent range, with monthly prints near 2 percent or below in recent months, and IMF and private forecasts project end-2026 inflation around 25–30 percent. This trajectory, combined with fiscal surpluses, energy and agricultural export strength, and central-bank interventions, underpins the 79.5 percent market-implied probability that the official rate stays below 1,700. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI releases, BCRA reserve targets, and any adjustments to the band crawl rate.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$22,053 Vol.
$22,053 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
<1600,00
45%
1600,00–1699,99
33%
1700,00–1799,99
8%
1800,00–1899,99
3%
1900,00–1999,99
18%
2000,00+
4%
$22,053 Vol.
$22,053 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
<1600,00
$2,546 Vol.
45%
1600,00–1699,99
$2,035 Vol.
33%
1700,00–1799,99
$2,203 Vol.
8%
1800,00–1899,99
$1,709 Vol.
3%
1900,00–1999,99
$11,772 Vol.
18%
2000,00+
$1,788 Vol.
4%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Trader sentiment on the Argentina official USD/ARS rate at end-2026 centers on the BCRA’s inflation-indexed exchange-rate band regime, which has kept the spot rate near 1,514–1,535 as of mid-September 2026.** The band’s floor and ceiling adjust monthly with lagged CPI prints, supporting reserve accumulation of over USD 7–13 billion year-to-date while limiting depreciation to roughly the pace of disinflation. Annual inflation has fallen to the low-30s percent range, with monthly prints near 2 percent or below in recent months, and IMF and private forecasts project end-2026 inflation around 25–30 percent. This trajectory, combined with fiscal surpluses, energy and agricultural export strength, and central-bank interventions, underpins the 79.5 percent market-implied probability that the official rate stays below 1,700. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI releases, BCRA reserve targets, and any adjustments to the band crawl rate.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$22,053Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Trader sentiment on the Argentina official USD/ARS rate at end-2026 centers on the BCRA’s inflation-indexed exchange-rate band regime, which has kept the spot rate near 1,514–1,535 as of mid-September 2026.** The band’s floor and ceiling adjust monthly with lagged CPI prints, supporting reserve accumulation of over USD 7–13 billion year-to-date while limiting depreciation to roughly the pace of disinflation. Annual inflation has fallen to the low-30s percent range, with monthly prints near 2 percent or below in recent months, and IMF and private forecasts project end-2026 inflation around 25–30 percent. This trajectory, combined with fiscal surpluses, energy and agricultural export strength, and central-bank interventions, underpins the 79.5 percent market-implied probability that the official rate stays below 1,700. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI releases, BCRA reserve targets, and any adjustments to the band crawl rate.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$22,053Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader sentiment on the Argentina official USD/ARS rate at end-2026 centers on the BCRA’s inflation-indexed exchange-rate band regime, which has kept the spot rate near 1,514–1,535 as of mid-September 2026.** The band’s floor and ceiling adjust monthly with lagged CPI prints, supporting reserve accumulation of over USD 7–13 billion year-to-date while limiting depreciation to roughly the pace of disinflation. Annual inflation has fallen to the low-30s percent range, with monthly prints near 2 percent or below in recent months, and IMF and private forecasts project end-2026 inflation around 25–30 percent. This trajectory, combined with fiscal surpluses, energy and agricultural export strength, and central-bank interventions, underpins the 79.5 percent market-implied probability that the official rate stays below 1,700. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI releases, BCRA reserve targets, and any adjustments to the band crawl rate.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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