Iran's presidential term under Masoud Pezeshkian runs through 2028 absent death, resignation, or incapacity, which would trigger a constitutional snap election within 50 days via the Guardian Council. Following the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the subsequent election of Mojtaba Khamenei, official priorities have centered on Assembly of Experts deliberations, wartime coordination, and U.S. negotiations mediated by Qatar rather than altering the executive timeline. Recent statements from Iran's Interior Ministry indicate planning for combined parliamentary and presidential votes in 2028, with no vacancy or procedural signals for an earlier contest. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and the absence of triggering events, though abrupt leadership changes or escalated instability could still activate Article 131 procedures before year-end deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Iran hold a presidential election by...?
Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?
$767,426 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
8%
$767,426 Vol.
December 31
$212 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran's presidential term under Masoud Pezeshkian runs through 2028 absent death, resignation, or incapacity, which would trigger a constitutional snap election within 50 days via the Guardian Council. Following the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the subsequent election of Mojtaba Khamenei, official priorities have centered on Assembly of Experts deliberations, wartime coordination, and U.S. negotiations mediated by Qatar rather than altering the executive timeline. Recent statements from Iran's Interior Ministry indicate planning for combined parliamentary and presidential votes in 2028, with no vacancy or procedural signals for an earlier contest. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and the absence of triggering events, though abrupt leadership changes or escalated instability could still activate Article 131 procedures before year-end deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volume
$767,426End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran's presidential term under Masoud Pezeshkian runs through 2028 absent death, resignation, or incapacity, which would trigger a constitutional snap election within 50 days via the Guardian Council. Following the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the subsequent election of Mojtaba Khamenei, official priorities have centered on Assembly of Experts deliberations, wartime coordination, and U.S. negotiations mediated by Qatar rather than altering the executive timeline. Recent statements from Iran's Interior Ministry indicate planning for combined parliamentary and presidential votes in 2028, with no vacancy or procedural signals for an earlier contest. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and the absence of triggering events, though abrupt leadership changes or escalated instability could still activate Article 131 procedures before year-end deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$767,426End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's presidential term under Masoud Pezeshkian runs through 2028 absent death, resignation, or incapacity, which would trigger a constitutional snap election within 50 days via the Guardian Council. Following the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the subsequent election of Mojtaba Khamenei, official priorities have centered on Assembly of Experts deliberations, wartime coordination, and U.S. negotiations mediated by Qatar rather than altering the executive timeline. Recent statements from Iran's Interior Ministry indicate planning for combined parliamentary and presidential votes in 2028, with no vacancy or procedural signals for an earlier contest. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and the absence of triggering events, though abrupt leadership changes or escalated instability could still activate Article 131 procedures before year-end deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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