Ilhan Omar, a naturalized U.S. citizen since 2000 and sitting member of Congress, faces no active denaturalization proceedings or deportation orders despite ongoing political scrutiny and investigations into longstanding allegations of immigration-related fraud. Trader consensus at 98.3% against deportation in 2026 reflects the constitutional and statutory barriers: U.S. citizens cannot be removed absent a successful court-ordered revocation of citizenship, a rare process requiring proof of willful misrepresentation during naturalization with full due process protections. Recent developments, including public calls from President Trump and some Republicans for enforcement action or constitutional changes targeting naturalized lawmakers, have not produced formal charges or rulings by September 2026. Late-breaking legal outcomes, such as a completed denaturalization case within the year, remain the primary scenarios that could shift probabilities, though such resolutions typically involve extended litigation.