Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for North Carolina Senate Election Winner
Politics·North Carolina Midterm

North Carolina Senate Election Winner

icon for North Carolina Senate Election Winner
Politics·North Carolina Midterm

North Carolina Senate Election Winner

Polymarket

$113,095 Vol.

Polymarket

$113,095 Vol.

icon for Roy Cooper (D)

Roy Cooper (D)

$47,193 Vol.

92%

icon for Michael Whatley (R)

Michael Whatley (R)

$65,902 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Roy Cooper holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s open Senate race due to consistent polling leads of 7–14 points through mid-September 2026, driven by strong name recognition as former governor, advantages among independents and women, and voter priorities on the economy where he outperforms Republican nominee Michael Whatley. Whatley, the former RNC chair backed by President Trump, has consolidated Republican support but trails in overall favorability and fundraising. The race, rated lean Democrat by forecasters, reflects a stable trader consensus around Cooper’s edge heading into early voting. Potential shifts could arise from intensified Republican turnout efforts, including Trump’s scheduled rally, late economic messaging, or undecided voter movement in the final weeks before November 3.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$113,095
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Roy Cooper holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s open Senate race due to consistent polling leads of 7–14 points through mid-September 2026, driven by strong name recognition as former governor, advantages among independents and women, and voter priorities on the economy where he outperforms Republican nominee Michael Whatley. Whatley, the former RNC chair backed by President Trump, has consolidated Republican support but trails in overall favorability and fundraising. The race, rated lean Democrat by forecasters, reflects a stable trader consensus around Cooper’s edge heading into early voting. Potential shifts could arise from intensified Republican turnout efforts, including Trump’s scheduled rally, late economic messaging, or undecided voter movement in the final weeks before November 3.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$113,095
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Related

icon for Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?

97%
icon for Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?

93%
icon for Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?

82%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"North Carolina Senate Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Roy Cooper (D)" at 92%, followed by "Michael Whatley (R)" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "North Carolina Senate Election Winner" has generated $113.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "North Carolina Senate Election Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "North Carolina Senate Election Winner" is "Roy Cooper (D)" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Michael Whatley (R)" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "North Carolina Senate Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.