Gold prices hover near $4,400 per ounce amid shifting Federal Reserve rate expectations, with markets assigning roughly 60% odds of a 25 basis point hike at the September 16 FOMC meeting following stronger-than-expected August payrolls and elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions. Upcoming U.S. CPI and PPI releases this week will likely clarify inflation trends and influence real yield paths, directly affecting opportunity costs for the non-yielding metal. A weaker dollar has provided intermittent support, while persistent central bank accumulation and geopolitical hedging underpin longer-term demand. Traders are monitoring the $4,300–$4,500 range for near-term direction, with the FOMC decision serving as the immediate catalyst that could either reinforce or ease pressure on XAUUSD through the remainder of September.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$109,848 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
↑ $5,300
2%
↑ $5,200
1%
↑ $5,100
3%
↑ $5,000
4%
↑ $4,900
9%
↑ $4,800
15%
↑ $4,700
25%
↑ $4,600
44%
↑ $4,500
71%
↓ $4,300
67%
↓ $4,200
43%
↓ $4,100
24%
↓ $4,000
13%
↓ $3,900
5%
↓ $3,800
3%
$109,848 Vol.
↑ $5,300
$3,289 Vol.
2%
↑ $5,200
$3,401 Vol.
1%
↑ $5,100
$3,697 Vol.
3%
↑ $5,000
$3,554 Vol.
4%
↑ $4,900
$3,782 Vol.
9%
↑ $4,800
$2,447 Vol.
15%
↑ $4,700
$6,295 Vol.
25%
↑ $4,600
$3,212 Vol.
44%
↑ $4,500
$2,429 Vol.
71%
↓ $4,300
$4,460 Vol.
67%
↓ $4,200
$6,746 Vol.
43%
↓ $4,100
$9,096 Vol.
24%
↓ $4,000
$12,363 Vol.
13%
↓ $3,900
$9,535 Vol.
5%
↓ $3,800
$3,598 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Gold prices hover near $4,400 per ounce amid shifting Federal Reserve rate expectations, with markets assigning roughly 60% odds of a 25 basis point hike at the September 16 FOMC meeting following stronger-than-expected August payrolls and elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions. Upcoming U.S. CPI and PPI releases this week will likely clarify inflation trends and influence real yield paths, directly affecting opportunity costs for the non-yielding metal. A weaker dollar has provided intermittent support, while persistent central bank accumulation and geopolitical hedging underpin longer-term demand. Traders are monitoring the $4,300–$4,500 range for near-term direction, with the FOMC decision serving as the immediate catalyst that could either reinforce or ease pressure on XAUUSD through the remainder of September.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$109,848End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Gold prices hover near $4,400 per ounce amid shifting Federal Reserve rate expectations, with markets assigning roughly 60% odds of a 25 basis point hike at the September 16 FOMC meeting following stronger-than-expected August payrolls and elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions. Upcoming U.S. CPI and PPI releases this week will likely clarify inflation trends and influence real yield paths, directly affecting opportunity costs for the non-yielding metal. A weaker dollar has provided intermittent support, while persistent central bank accumulation and geopolitical hedging underpin longer-term demand. Traders are monitoring the $4,300–$4,500 range for near-term direction, with the FOMC decision serving as the immediate catalyst that could either reinforce or ease pressure on XAUUSD through the remainder of September.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Volume
$109,848End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold prices hover near $4,400 per ounce amid shifting Federal Reserve rate expectations, with markets assigning roughly 60% odds of a 25 basis point hike at the September 16 FOMC meeting following stronger-than-expected August payrolls and elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions. Upcoming U.S. CPI and PPI releases this week will likely clarify inflation trends and influence real yield paths, directly affecting opportunity costs for the non-yielding metal. A weaker dollar has provided intermittent support, while persistent central bank accumulation and geopolitical hedging underpin longer-term demand. Traders are monitoring the $4,300–$4,500 range for near-term direction, with the FOMC decision serving as the immediate catalyst that could either reinforce or ease pressure on XAUUSD through the remainder of September.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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