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icon for Sweden Parliamentary Election: Which parties win seats?

Sweden Parliamentary Election: Which parties win seats?

icon for Sweden Parliamentary Election: Which parties win seats?

Sweden Parliamentary Election: Which parties win seats?

$2,877 Vol.

Sep 12, 2026
Polymarket

$2,877 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Green Party (MP)

Green Party (MP)

$398 Vol.

Yes

icon for Christian Democrats (KD)

Christian Democrats (KD)

$1,271 Vol.

Yes

icon for Left Party (V)

Left Party (V)

$424 Vol.

Yes

icon for Centre Party (C)

Centre Party (C)

$785 Vol.

Yes

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No". Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No". Each market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election produced a narrow centre-left victory and confirmed seats for all eight established parties in the 349-seat Riksdag.** Preliminary counts showed the Social Democrats-led opposition bloc (Social Democrats, Left Party, Centre Party, Greens) ahead by one seat at 175–174 over the incumbent right-wing grouping (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals backed by the Sweden Democrats). All parties cleared the 4% national threshold, with the Liberals reaching roughly 5.3–5.4% after polling near or below it in earlier surveys. The Social Democrats remained the largest party at about 28%, while the Sweden Democrats fell to around 17.5% (down from 2022). The campaign centred on crime, immigration, the economy, and security, with late tightening of the blocs driven by shifts among undecided voters and stronger-than-expected Liberal performance. Final seat allocation awaits completion of late and overseas ballot counting, expected shortly.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No".

Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No".

Each market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No". Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No". Each market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$2,877
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ET

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No". Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No". Each market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election produced a narrow centre-left victory and confirmed seats for all eight established parties in the 349-seat Riksdag.** Preliminary counts showed the Social Democrats-led opposition bloc (Social Democrats, Left Party, Centre Party, Greens) ahead by one seat at 175–174 over the incumbent right-wing grouping (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals backed by the Sweden Democrats). All parties cleared the 4% national threshold, with the Liberals reaching roughly 5.3–5.4% after polling near or below it in earlier surveys. The Social Democrats remained the largest party at about 28%, while the Sweden Democrats fell to around 17.5% (down from 2022). The campaign centred on crime, immigration, the economy, and security, with late tightening of the blocs driven by shifts among undecided voters and stronger-than-expected Liberal performance. Final seat allocation awaits completion of late and overseas ballot counting, expected shortly.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No".

Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No".

Each market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No". Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No". Each market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$2,877
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ET

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Sweden Parliamentary Election: Which parties win seats?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Green Party (MP)" at 100%, followed by "Christian Democrats (KD)" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Sweden Parliamentary Election: Which parties win seats?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Sweden Parliamentary Election: Which parties win seats?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sweden Parliamentary Election: Which parties win seats?" is "Green Party (MP)" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Christian Democrats (KD)" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sweden Parliamentary Election: Which parties win seats?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.