Recent polling averages place the Parti Québécois first at around 29%, the Coalition Avenir Québec second near 23-24%, and the Quebec Liberal Party third at 20-22%, with the Conservative Party of Quebec and Québec solidaire trailing further back. This positioning has held steady in early September surveys from Léger and Pallas Data, as the campaign solidifies voter intentions ahead of the October 5 vote. The CAQ’s rebound under Premier Christine Fréchette has drawn support away from the PLQ, whose francophone backing has weakened, while regional strengths for the PCQ in Quebec City and the PLQ in Montreal have not altered the overall order. Traders’ consensus reflects these seat-projection models showing the PLQ as the clearest candidate for third place, with limited recent shifts likely to reorder the middle of the field before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPLQ 70%
CAQ 19%
PQ 6.3%
PCQ 1.9%
$10,579 Vol.
$10,579 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
70%
CAQ
19%
PQ
6%
PCQ
2%
QS
2%
PVQ
<1%
PLQ 70%
CAQ 19%
PQ 6.3%
PCQ 1.9%
$10,579 Vol.
$10,579 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
$2,857 Vol.
70%
CAQ
$3,388 Vol.
19%
PQ
$1,363 Vol.
6%
PCQ
$1,225 Vol.
2%
QS
$1,148 Vol.
2%
PVQ
$597 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages place the Parti Québécois first at around 29%, the Coalition Avenir Québec second near 23-24%, and the Quebec Liberal Party third at 20-22%, with the Conservative Party of Quebec and Québec solidaire trailing further back. This positioning has held steady in early September surveys from Léger and Pallas Data, as the campaign solidifies voter intentions ahead of the October 5 vote. The CAQ’s rebound under Premier Christine Fréchette has drawn support away from the PLQ, whose francophone backing has weakened, while regional strengths for the PCQ in Quebec City and the PLQ in Montreal have not altered the overall order. Traders’ consensus reflects these seat-projection models showing the PLQ as the clearest candidate for third place, with limited recent shifts likely to reorder the middle of the field before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volume
$10,579End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages place the Parti Québécois first at around 29%, the Coalition Avenir Québec second near 23-24%, and the Quebec Liberal Party third at 20-22%, with the Conservative Party of Quebec and Québec solidaire trailing further back. This positioning has held steady in early September surveys from Léger and Pallas Data, as the campaign solidifies voter intentions ahead of the October 5 vote. The CAQ’s rebound under Premier Christine Fréchette has drawn support away from the PLQ, whose francophone backing has weakened, while regional strengths for the PCQ in Quebec City and the PLQ in Montreal have not altered the overall order. Traders’ consensus reflects these seat-projection models showing the PLQ as the clearest candidate for third place, with limited recent shifts likely to reorder the middle of the field before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$10,579End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the Parti Québécois first at around 29%, the Coalition Avenir Québec second near 23-24%, and the Quebec Liberal Party third at 20-22%, with the Conservative Party of Quebec and Québec solidaire trailing further back. This positioning has held steady in early September surveys from Léger and Pallas Data, as the campaign solidifies voter intentions ahead of the October 5 vote. The CAQ’s rebound under Premier Christine Fréchette has drawn support away from the PLQ, whose francophone backing has weakened, while regional strengths for the PCQ in Quebec City and the PLQ in Montreal have not altered the overall order. Traders’ consensus reflects these seat-projection models showing the PLQ as the clearest candidate for third place, with limited recent shifts likely to reorder the middle of the field before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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