Robert Pattinson’s star power and Gen Z-driven opening weekend of roughly $19 million have anchored trader confidence in a 7-9 million second-weekend gross for the A24 true-crime thriller. The film’s modest $15 million budget, strong Venice reception, and 69 percent under-30 audience share created early momentum that supports a typical hold in this range despite a crowded marketplace featuring holdovers like Avengers: Endgame Encore. A “B” CinemaScore reflects the unsettling subject matter yet has not derailed commercial trajectory. An upset below 7 million would require sharper word-of-mouth erosion or steeper drops than comparable A24 titles, while a push above 9 million would need unusually strong legs from sustained younger demographics.