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icon for MLB: Next Red Sox Manager
Sports·MLB

MLB: Next Red Sox Manager

icon for MLB: Next Red Sox Manager
Sports·MLB

MLB: Next Red Sox Manager

Chad Tracy 77%

Andrew Bailey 4.2%

Walker McKinven 3.9%

Daniel Descalso 3.1%

Polymarket

$611,648 Vol.

Chad Tracy 77%

Andrew Bailey 4.2%

Walker McKinven 3.9%

Daniel Descalso 3.1%

Polymarket

$611,648 Vol.

Chad Tracy

$6,343 Vol.

77%

Andrew Bailey

$354 Vol.

4%

Walker McKinven

$442 Vol.

4%

Daniel Descalso

$204 Vol.

3%

David Ross

$1,184 Vol.

3%

Omar López

$694 Vol.

3%

Rocco Baldelli

$621 Vol.

3%

Jason Varitek

$265 Vol.

3%

George Lombard

$168 Vol.

2%

Dustin Pedroia

$189 Vol.

1%

Brandon Hyde

$183 Vol.

1%

David Ortiz

$192 Vol.

1%

Nomar Garciaparra

$411 Vol.

1%

Alex Rodriguez

$182 Vol.

1%

Brad Ausmus

$410,639 Vol.

1%

Morgan Ensberg

$137 Vol.

1%

Ryan Flaherty

$82 Vol.

1%

JD Martinez

$86 Vol.

1%

A.J. Ellis

$189,273 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of the Boston Red Sox. If no permanent manager is appointed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Boston Red Sox; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Chad Tracy’s dominant 76.5% implied probability stems from his strong performance as the Red Sox interim manager since replacing Alex Cora in late April 2026. Promoted from Triple-A Worcester, Tracy guided the club through a franchise-record turnaround featuring a 15-game win streak and the best monthly mark in team history, lifting Boston into playoff contention. Front-office reports indicate he is the leading internal candidate for the permanent role once the season concludes, with chief baseball officer Craig Breslow and ownership appearing aligned on extending him. The remaining candidates, including pitching coach Andrew Bailey and external options such as Rocco Baldelli, trail far behind because the organization has shown little interest in an extended search while the incumbent continues to deliver results in the dugout.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of the Boston Red Sox.

If no permanent manager is appointed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Boston Red Sox; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of the Boston Red Sox. If no permanent manager is appointed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Boston Red Sox; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$611,648
End Date
Feb 1, 2027
Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of the Boston Red Sox. If no permanent manager is appointed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Boston Red Sox; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Chad Tracy’s dominant 76.5% implied probability stems from his strong performance as the Red Sox interim manager since replacing Alex Cora in late April 2026. Promoted from Triple-A Worcester, Tracy guided the club through a franchise-record turnaround featuring a 15-game win streak and the best monthly mark in team history, lifting Boston into playoff contention. Front-office reports indicate he is the leading internal candidate for the permanent role once the season concludes, with chief baseball officer Craig Breslow and ownership appearing aligned on extending him. The remaining candidates, including pitching coach Andrew Bailey and external options such as Rocco Baldelli, trail far behind because the organization has shown little interest in an extended search while the incumbent continues to deliver results in the dugout.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of the Boston Red Sox.

If no permanent manager is appointed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Boston Red Sox; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of the Boston Red Sox. If no permanent manager is appointed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Boston Red Sox; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$611,648
End Date
Feb 1, 2027
Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Next Red Sox Manager" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chad Tracy" at 77%, followed by "Andrew Bailey" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: Next Red Sox Manager" has generated $611.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: Next Red Sox Manager," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: Next Red Sox Manager" is "Chad Tracy" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Andrew Bailey" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Next Red Sox Manager" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.