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icon for MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALCS

MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALCS

icon for MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALCS

MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALCS

NEW
Oct 15, 2026
Polymarket

$4,624 Vol.

Polymarket

New York Yankees

$0 Vol.

32%

Boston Red Sox

$0 Vol.

30%

Chicago White Sox

$0 Vol.

30%

Cleveland Guardians

$0 Vol.

29%

Houston Astros

$0 Vol.

25%

Texas Rangers

$0 Vol.

24%

Toronto Blue Jays

$0 Vol.

24%

Minnesota Twins

$0 Vol.

23%

Tampa Bay Rays

$0 Vol.

21%

Kansas City Royals

$1,159 Vol.

1%

Baltimore Orioles

$624 Vol.

1%

Seattle Mariners

$1,359 Vol.

1%

Detroit Tigers

$628 Vol.

1%

Athletics

$711 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the ALCS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 AL playoff picture features the Rays atop the East with a comfortable lead, the White Sox holding the Central, and the Astros leading the West, while the Yankees, Red Sox, and Guardians occupy wild-card positions with minimal separation from teams like the Blue Jays and Rangers. Advancing to the ALCS requires winning a best-of-three Wild Card series followed by a best-of-five ALDS against either the Rays or White Sox, both of whom hold byes and strong home records. Recent developments include Aaron Judge's return from injury boosting the Yankees, tight divisional races still undecided with roughly three weeks remaining, and favorable recent form for several contenders. Schedule strength, bullpen health, and head-to-head results in the final weeks will shape seeding and matchups that determine ALCS participants.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the ALCS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the ALCS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,624
End Date
Oct 15, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.mlb.com/
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the ALCS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 AL playoff picture features the Rays atop the East with a comfortable lead, the White Sox holding the Central, and the Astros leading the West, while the Yankees, Red Sox, and Guardians occupy wild-card positions with minimal separation from teams like the Blue Jays and Rangers. Advancing to the ALCS requires winning a best-of-three Wild Card series followed by a best-of-five ALDS against either the Rays or White Sox, both of whom hold byes and strong home records. Recent developments include Aaron Judge's return from injury boosting the Yankees, tight divisional races still undecided with roughly three weeks remaining, and favorable recent form for several contenders. Schedule strength, bullpen health, and head-to-head results in the final weeks will shape seeding and matchups that determine ALCS participants.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the ALCS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the ALCS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,624
End Date
Oct 15, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.mlb.com/

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALCS" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "New York Yankees" at 32%, followed by "Boston Red Sox" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALCS" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALCS," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALCS" is "New York Yankees" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Boston Red Sox" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALCS" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.