US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon, which began in April 2026, produced a trilateral framework agreement in late June outlining sequenced steps for Lebanese army control in pilot zones, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and gradual Israeli redeployments from southern areas. Subsequent rounds, including one in Rome in early August, have focused on implementation details and a potential comprehensive security accord, with another session slated for September. Hezbollah has rejected the framework, while both governments describe progress as incremental and performance-based, without fixed timelines or commitments to immediate high-level leader engagement. Trader sentiment reflects these structural hurdles and the emphasis on verifiable steps over rapid diplomatic milestones.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$427,942 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
September 9
1%
September 11
3%
September 13
4%
September 15
13%
September 30
68%
$427,942 Vol.
September 9
$22,674 Vol.
1%
September 11
$9,294 Vol.
3%
September 13
$12,067 Vol.
4%
September 15
$75,601 Vol.
13%
September 30
$99,800 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon, which began in April 2026, produced a trilateral framework agreement in late June outlining sequenced steps for Lebanese army control in pilot zones, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and gradual Israeli redeployments from southern areas. Subsequent rounds, including one in Rome in early August, have focused on implementation details and a potential comprehensive security accord, with another session slated for September. Hezbollah has rejected the framework, while both governments describe progress as incremental and performance-based, without fixed timelines or commitments to immediate high-level leader engagement. Trader sentiment reflects these structural hurdles and the emphasis on verifiable steps over rapid diplomatic milestones.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 4:09 AM ET
Volume
$427,942End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 4:09 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon, which began in April 2026, produced a trilateral framework agreement in late June outlining sequenced steps for Lebanese army control in pilot zones, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and gradual Israeli redeployments from southern areas. Subsequent rounds, including one in Rome in early August, have focused on implementation details and a potential comprehensive security accord, with another session slated for September. Hezbollah has rejected the framework, while both governments describe progress as incremental and performance-based, without fixed timelines or commitments to immediate high-level leader engagement. Trader sentiment reflects these structural hurdles and the emphasis on verifiable steps over rapid diplomatic milestones.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$427,942End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 4:09 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon, which began in April 2026, produced a trilateral framework agreement in late June outlining sequenced steps for Lebanese army control in pilot zones, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and gradual Israeli redeployments from southern areas. Subsequent rounds, including one in Rome in early August, have focused on implementation details and a potential comprehensive security accord, with another session slated for September. Hezbollah has rejected the framework, while both governments describe progress as incremental and performance-based, without fixed timelines or commitments to immediate high-level leader engagement. Trader sentiment reflects these structural hurdles and the emphasis on verifiable steps over rapid diplomatic milestones.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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