Recent military tensions and US sanctions have driven sharp depreciation of the Iranian rial on the open market, with the USD rate reaching record levels near 2.35 million IRR by September 9 amid attacks on oil tankers and disruptions near the Strait of Hormuz. Reduced oil export revenues and restricted access to foreign currency reserves have intensified selling pressure, outpacing Central Bank interventions and contributing to the gap versus official rates around 1.37 million IRR. With the currency already trading well above 2.2 million IRR and roughly three weeks remaining until month-end, trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to an end-September close in the 2.2M+ range. Ongoing geopolitical and sanctions dynamics remain the dominant influences on near-term exchange rate movements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUSD x Iranian rials End of September?
USD x Iranian rials End of September?
2.2M+ 89%
2.1-2.2M 5.2%
2.0-2.1M 2.5%
1.8-1.9M 1.1%
$41,077 Vol.
$41,077 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<1.7M
1%
1.7-1.8M
1%
1.8-1.9M
1%
1.9-2.0M
1%
2.0-2.1M
3%
2.1-2.2M
5%
2.2M+
89%
2.2M+ 89%
2.1-2.2M 5.2%
2.0-2.1M 2.5%
1.8-1.9M 1.1%
$41,077 Vol.
$41,077 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<1.7M
$1,911 Vol.
1%
1.7-1.8M
$1,763 Vol.
1%
1.8-1.9M
$1,838 Vol.
1%
1.9-2.0M
$3,233 Vol.
1%
2.0-2.1M
$4,601 Vol.
3%
2.1-2.2M
$4,727 Vol.
5%
2.2M+
$23,003 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Recent military tensions and US sanctions have driven sharp depreciation of the Iranian rial on the open market, with the USD rate reaching record levels near 2.35 million IRR by September 9 amid attacks on oil tankers and disruptions near the Strait of Hormuz. Reduced oil export revenues and restricted access to foreign currency reserves have intensified selling pressure, outpacing Central Bank interventions and contributing to the gap versus official rates around 1.37 million IRR. With the currency already trading well above 2.2 million IRR and roughly three weeks remaining until month-end, trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to an end-September close in the 2.2M+ range. Ongoing geopolitical and sanctions dynamics remain the dominant influences on near-term exchange rate movements.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Volume
$41,077End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Recent military tensions and US sanctions have driven sharp depreciation of the Iranian rial on the open market, with the USD rate reaching record levels near 2.35 million IRR by September 9 amid attacks on oil tankers and disruptions near the Strait of Hormuz. Reduced oil export revenues and restricted access to foreign currency reserves have intensified selling pressure, outpacing Central Bank interventions and contributing to the gap versus official rates around 1.37 million IRR. With the currency already trading well above 2.2 million IRR and roughly three weeks remaining until month-end, trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to an end-September close in the 2.2M+ range. Ongoing geopolitical and sanctions dynamics remain the dominant influences on near-term exchange rate movements.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$41,077End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent military tensions and US sanctions have driven sharp depreciation of the Iranian rial on the open market, with the USD rate reaching record levels near 2.35 million IRR by September 9 amid attacks on oil tankers and disruptions near the Strait of Hormuz. Reduced oil export revenues and restricted access to foreign currency reserves have intensified selling pressure, outpacing Central Bank interventions and contributing to the gap versus official rates around 1.37 million IRR. With the currency already trading well above 2.2 million IRR and roughly three weeks remaining until month-end, trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to an end-September close in the 2.2M+ range. Ongoing geopolitical and sanctions dynamics remain the dominant influences on near-term exchange rate movements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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