Official temperature observations for Panama City on September 13 confirm a daily maximum of 32°C, aligning with the market-implied consensus and reflecting the resolution criteria used by data providers such as national meteorological services. This outcome is consistent with regional climatology, where September highs typically range from 30–33°C amid humid tropical conditions, minimal frontal activity, and steady trade winds that moderate but rarely suppress peak readings. Recent model verification and station data show no significant deviation from baseline patterns, with no extreme heat events or cloud cover anomalies altering the result. Scenarios that could have challenged the 32°C threshold include localized convective outbreaks or measurement discrepancies at primary stations, though none materialized in the verified record.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 13?
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$19,301 Vol.
$19,301 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$19,301 Vol.
$19,301 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official temperature observations for Panama City on September 13 confirm a daily maximum of 32°C, aligning with the market-implied consensus and reflecting the resolution criteria used by data providers such as national meteorological services. This outcome is consistent with regional climatology, where September highs typically range from 30–33°C amid humid tropical conditions, minimal frontal activity, and steady trade winds that moderate but rarely suppress peak readings. Recent model verification and station data show no significant deviation from baseline patterns, with no extreme heat events or cloud cover anomalies altering the result. Scenarios that could have challenged the 32°C threshold include localized convective outbreaks or measurement discrepancies at primary stations, though none materialized in the verified record.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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