Current forecast models from sources like the German Weather Service and GFS consensus indicate a daily maximum near 16–17°C in Munich on September 24, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate westerly winds, and limited solar heating typical of late September. This places the outcome well below the month’s climatological average high of roughly 18–19°C. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 17°C (51%) and 16°C (32%) as afternoon observations and model runs show temperatures peaking in that narrow range amid scattered showers and high humidity. Minor upward revisions remain possible if skies clear earlier than expected, while cooler readings could occur with prolonged precipitation, though historical analogs and current steering patterns favor the leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 24?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 24?
17°C 58%
16°C 28%
15°C 10%
18°C 8%
NEW
$23,408 Vol.
NEW
$23,408 Vol.
Sep 24, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
10%
16°C
28%
17°C
58%
18°C
8%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 58%
16°C 28%
15°C 10%
18°C 8%
NEW
$23,408 Vol.
NEW
$23,408 Vol.
Sep 24, 2026
12°C or below
$685 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$694 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$587 Vol.
1%
15°C
$4,589 Vol.
10%
16°C
$4,621 Vol.
28%
17°C
$5,893 Vol.
58%
18°C
$3,227 Vol.
8%
19°C
$1,184 Vol.
1%
20°C
$710 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,117 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the German Weather Service and GFS consensus indicate a daily maximum near 16–17°C in Munich on September 24, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate westerly winds, and limited solar heating typical of late September. This places the outcome well below the month’s climatological average high of roughly 18–19°C. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 17°C (51%) and 16°C (32%) as afternoon observations and model runs show temperatures peaking in that narrow range amid scattered showers and high humidity. Minor upward revisions remain possible if skies clear earlier than expected, while cooler readings could occur with prolonged precipitation, though historical analogs and current steering patterns favor the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$23,408End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the German Weather Service and GFS consensus indicate a daily maximum near 16–17°C in Munich on September 24, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate westerly winds, and limited solar heating typical of late September. This places the outcome well below the month’s climatological average high of roughly 18–19°C. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 17°C (51%) and 16°C (32%) as afternoon observations and model runs show temperatures peaking in that narrow range amid scattered showers and high humidity. Minor upward revisions remain possible if skies clear earlier than expected, while cooler readings could occur with prolonged precipitation, though historical analogs and current steering patterns favor the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,408End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47de9d...Current forecast models from sources like the German Weather Service and GFS consensus indicate a daily maximum near 16–17°C in Munich on September 24, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate westerly winds, and limited solar heating typical of late September. This places the outcome well below the month’s climatological average high of roughly 18–19°C. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 17°C (51%) and 16°C (32%) as afternoon observations and model runs show temperatures peaking in that narrow range amid scattered showers and high humidity. Minor upward revisions remain possible if skies clear earlier than expected, while cooler readings could occur with prolonged precipitation, though historical analogs and current steering patterns favor the leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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