Recent forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models points to persistent cloud cover and showers across Busan on September 26, driven by a northeasterly flow and regional moisture, which limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup favors daytime maxima clustering around 22–24°C, with model spreads reflecting uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity that could shave 1–2°C off peaks if heavier showers arrive earlier. Historical September averages near 24°C provide context, yet current synoptic conditions suppress that baseline. Trader sentiment, with 23°C and 24°C leading at roughly 26% and 24% implied probability, aggregates these variables and the modest risk of clearer intervals allowing a brief 25°C spike. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on September 26?
Highest temperature in Busan on September 26?
23°C 26%
24°C 23%
22°C 19%
25°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
19°C or below
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
14%
22°C
19%
23°C
26%
24°C
23%
25°C
15%
26°C
9%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 26%
24°C 23%
22°C 19%
25°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$55 Vol.
4%
21°C
$4,043 Vol.
14%
22°C
$257 Vol.
19%
23°C
$89 Vol.
26%
24°C
$157 Vol.
23%
25°C
$42 Vol.
15%
26°C
$5 Vol.
9%
27°C
$50 Vol.
5%
28°C
$70 Vol.
2%
29°C or higher
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models points to persistent cloud cover and showers across Busan on September 26, driven by a northeasterly flow and regional moisture, which limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup favors daytime maxima clustering around 22–24°C, with model spreads reflecting uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity that could shave 1–2°C off peaks if heavier showers arrive earlier. Historical September averages near 24°C provide context, yet current synoptic conditions suppress that baseline. Trader sentiment, with 23°C and 24°C leading at roughly 26% and 24% implied probability, aggregates these variables and the modest risk of clearer intervals allowing a brief 25°C spike. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$4,903End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models points to persistent cloud cover and showers across Busan on September 26, driven by a northeasterly flow and regional moisture, which limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup favors daytime maxima clustering around 22–24°C, with model spreads reflecting uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity that could shave 1–2°C off peaks if heavier showers arrive earlier. Historical September averages near 24°C provide context, yet current synoptic conditions suppress that baseline. Trader sentiment, with 23°C and 24°C leading at roughly 26% and 24% implied probability, aggregates these variables and the modest risk of clearer intervals allowing a brief 25°C spike. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,903End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models points to persistent cloud cover and showers across Busan on September 26, driven by a northeasterly flow and regional moisture, which limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup favors daytime maxima clustering around 22–24°C, with model spreads reflecting uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity that could shave 1–2°C off peaks if heavier showers arrive earlier. Historical September averages near 24°C provide context, yet current synoptic conditions suppress that baseline. Trader sentiment, with 23°C and 24°C leading at roughly 26% and 24% implied probability, aggregates these variables and the modest risk of clearer intervals allowing a brief 25°C spike. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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