María Elvira Salazar holds a modest edge in Florida’s 27th district as the Republican incumbent facing Democrat Eliott Rodriguez in a race rated Lean Republican by multiple forecasters. The district’s large Hispanic population and shifting voter priorities on immigration enforcement and housing costs have narrowed historical Republican margins, with recent polls showing Salazar ahead by 1–3 points. Salazar’s higher cash reserves and bipartisan legislative record contrast with Rodriguez’s focus on economic pressures and criticism of Trump-aligned policies. Endorsements from Trump and regional leaders, alongside Salazar’s occasional breaks from administration immigration actions, have helped stabilize her position. Trader pricing at 57% for Salazar aligns with the close polling average and late-campaign dynamics ahead of the November 3 vote.