María Elvira Salazar maintains a strong position as the Republican incumbent in Florida’s 27th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, supported by her decisive primary victory, substantial fundraising edge with nearly $2.3 million cash on hand, and recent endorsements including from South Florida firefighters. The district’s Republican lean, evidenced by Donald Trump’s 2024 margin and Salazar’s prior performance, underpins the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Eliott Rodriguez, the Democratic nominee following his August primary win, brings name recognition from his journalism background but trails significantly in resources and faces a “Likely Republican” rating from multiple forecasters, limiting his path despite Democratic efforts to target the seat. Limited recent polling and no major late-breaking shifts have kept probabilities stable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-27 House Election Winner
FL-27 House Election Winner
$24,868 Vol.
$24,868 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
María Elvira Salazar (R)
82%
Eliott Rodriguez (D)
17%
$24,868 Vol.
$24,868 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
María Elvira Salazar (R)
$13,017 Vol.
82%
Eliott Rodriguez (D)
$11,851 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).María Elvira Salazar maintains a strong position as the Republican incumbent in Florida’s 27th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, supported by her decisive primary victory, substantial fundraising edge with nearly $2.3 million cash on hand, and recent endorsements including from South Florida firefighters. The district’s Republican lean, evidenced by Donald Trump’s 2024 margin and Salazar’s prior performance, underpins the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Eliott Rodriguez, the Democratic nominee following his August primary win, brings name recognition from his journalism background but trails significantly in resources and faces a “Likely Republican” rating from multiple forecasters, limiting his path despite Democratic efforts to target the seat. Limited recent polling and no major late-breaking shifts have kept probabilities stable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$24,868End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).María Elvira Salazar maintains a strong position as the Republican incumbent in Florida’s 27th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, supported by her decisive primary victory, substantial fundraising edge with nearly $2.3 million cash on hand, and recent endorsements including from South Florida firefighters. The district’s Republican lean, evidenced by Donald Trump’s 2024 margin and Salazar’s prior performance, underpins the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Eliott Rodriguez, the Democratic nominee following his August primary win, brings name recognition from his journalism background but trails significantly in resources and faces a “Likely Republican” rating from multiple forecasters, limiting his path despite Democratic efforts to target the seat. Limited recent polling and no major late-breaking shifts have kept probabilities stable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,868End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...María Elvira Salazar maintains a strong position as the Republican incumbent in Florida’s 27th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, supported by her decisive primary victory, substantial fundraising edge with nearly $2.3 million cash on hand, and recent endorsements including from South Florida firefighters. The district’s Republican lean, evidenced by Donald Trump’s 2024 margin and Salazar’s prior performance, underpins the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Eliott Rodriguez, the Democratic nominee following his August primary win, brings name recognition from his journalism background but trails significantly in resources and faces a “Likely Republican” rating from multiple forecasters, limiting his path despite Democratic efforts to target the seat. Limited recent polling and no major late-breaking shifts have kept probabilities stable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions