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icon for 3rd richest person on December 31?

3rd richest person on December 31?

icon for 3rd richest person on December 31?

3rd richest person on December 31?

Sergey Brin 42%

Jeff Bezos 35.6%

Jensen Huang 33.4%

Mark Zuckerberg 30.2%

Polymarket

$24,818 Vol.

Sergey Brin 42%

Jeff Bezos 35.6%

Jensen Huang 33.4%

Mark Zuckerberg 30.2%

Polymarket

$24,818 Vol.

icon for Sergey Brin

Sergey Brin

$378 Vol.

42%

icon for Jeff Bezos

Jeff Bezos

$346 Vol.

36%

icon for Jensen Huang

Jensen Huang

$796 Vol.

33%

icon for Mark Zuckerberg

Mark Zuckerberg

$740 Vol.

30%

icon for Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett

$1,067 Vol.

30%

icon for Bernard Arnault

Bernard Arnault

$341 Vol.

14%

icon for Larry Page

Larry Page

$6,729 Vol.

19%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$314 Vol.

24%

icon for Steve Ballmer

Steve Ballmer

$13,455 Vol.

24%

icon for Michael Dell

Michael Dell

$170 Vol.

1%

icon for Larry Ellison

Larry Ellison

$480 Vol.

36%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.**Stock performance swings in the AI and cloud sectors are the main force shaping trader views on the December 31 third-richest slot.** With Elon Musk locked in first and Larry Page holding second, the battle for third has tightened among Sergey Brin, Larry Ellison, Jensen Huang, and Jeff Bezos, whose implied probabilities sit within a narrow 37–42% band. Recent Dell Technologies gains briefly elevated Michael Dell into the conversation, while Alphabet’s steady cloud and search momentum, Oracle’s infrastructure deals, Nvidia’s chip demand, and Amazon’s AWS trajectory keep the frontrunners neck-and-neck. Q4 earnings, hyperscaler capex updates, and any late-year market moves remain the key swing factors that could reorder the standings before year-end.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$24,818
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.**Stock performance swings in the AI and cloud sectors are the main force shaping trader views on the December 31 third-richest slot.** With Elon Musk locked in first and Larry Page holding second, the battle for third has tightened among Sergey Brin, Larry Ellison, Jensen Huang, and Jeff Bezos, whose implied probabilities sit within a narrow 37–42% band. Recent Dell Technologies gains briefly elevated Michael Dell into the conversation, while Alphabet’s steady cloud and search momentum, Oracle’s infrastructure deals, Nvidia’s chip demand, and Amazon’s AWS trajectory keep the frontrunners neck-and-neck. Q4 earnings, hyperscaler capex updates, and any late-year market moves remain the key swing factors that could reorder the standings before year-end.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$24,818
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"3rd richest person on December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sergey Brin" at 42%, followed by "Jeff Bezos" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "3rd richest person on December 31?" has generated $24.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "3rd richest person on December 31?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3rd richest person on December 31?" is "Sergey Brin" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jeff Bezos" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3rd richest person on December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.