Russian forces have reported capturing multiple settlements named Shevchenko in 2026, including one in Donetsk region near Pokrovsk in July and another in Kharkov oblast in June, as part of broader advances toward logistics hubs and defensive lines. These claims align with ongoing operations by Russian battlegroups in contested sectors, where small villages provide incremental gains in positioning and supply interdiction. Independent verification remains limited amid active fighting, Ukrainian counter-moves, and drone-intensive combat. Trader assessments of future capture probabilities reflect the pace of Russian incremental progress against Ukrainian defensive reinforcements in Donbas and northern Kharkov, with resolution tied to confirmed control by a specified date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Rusia capturará a Shevchenko para...?
¿Rusia capturará a Shevchenko para...?
$56,781 Vol.
31 oct 2026
31 de octubre
51%
$56,781 Vol.
31 de octubre
$9,374 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.386699° N, 37.105096° E in Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Shevchenko: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko1.png
Shevchenko Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Fhf9PMmJMZ51qrqT9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have reported capturing multiple settlements named Shevchenko in 2026, including one in Donetsk region near Pokrovsk in July and another in Kharkov oblast in June, as part of broader advances toward logistics hubs and defensive lines. These claims align with ongoing operations by Russian battlegroups in contested sectors, where small villages provide incremental gains in positioning and supply interdiction. Independent verification remains limited amid active fighting, Ukrainian counter-moves, and drone-intensive combat. Trader assessments of future capture probabilities reflect the pace of Russian incremental progress against Ukrainian defensive reinforcements in Donbas and northern Kharkov, with resolution tied to confirmed control by a specified date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.386699° N, 37.105096° E in Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Shevchenko: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko1.png
Shevchenko Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Fhf9PMmJMZ51qrqT9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Shevchenko: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko1.png
Shevchenko Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Fhf9PMmJMZ51qrqT9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 8:14 PM ET
Volumen
$56,781Fecha de finalización
1 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 8:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.386699° N, 37.105096° E in Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Shevchenko: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko1.png
Shevchenko Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Fhf9PMmJMZ51qrqT9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have reported capturing multiple settlements named Shevchenko in 2026, including one in Donetsk region near Pokrovsk in July and another in Kharkov oblast in June, as part of broader advances toward logistics hubs and defensive lines. These claims align with ongoing operations by Russian battlegroups in contested sectors, where small villages provide incremental gains in positioning and supply interdiction. Independent verification remains limited amid active fighting, Ukrainian counter-moves, and drone-intensive combat. Trader assessments of future capture probabilities reflect the pace of Russian incremental progress against Ukrainian defensive reinforcements in Donbas and northern Kharkov, with resolution tied to confirmed control by a specified date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.386699° N, 37.105096° E in Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Shevchenko: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko1.png
Shevchenko Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Fhf9PMmJMZ51qrqT9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Shevchenko: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko1.png
Shevchenko Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Fhf9PMmJMZ51qrqT9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Volumen
$56,781Fecha de finalización
1 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 8:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have reported capturing multiple settlements named Shevchenko in 2026, including one in Donetsk region near Pokrovsk in July and another in Kharkov oblast in June, as part of broader advances toward logistics hubs and defensive lines. These claims align with ongoing operations by Russian battlegroups in contested sectors, where small villages provide incremental gains in positioning and supply interdiction. Independent verification remains limited amid active fighting, Ukrainian counter-moves, and drone-intensive combat. Trader assessments of future capture probabilities reflect the pace of Russian incremental progress against Ukrainian defensive reinforcements in Donbas and northern Kharkov, with resolution tied to confirmed control by a specified date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes