This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s September 9, 2026 announcement of the iPhone Duo foldable, priced from $1,999 with pre-orders starting October 16 and availability on October 23, serves as the dominant catalyst for trader sentiment on release timelines. The book-style device features a 7.6-inch inner display, reduced crease, titanium build, and Apple Pencil support, positioning it as a premium entrant against Samsung and Google foldables. Supply-chain reports and analyst commentary from Mark Gurman had built expectations for a fall 2026 debut alongside iPhone 18 models despite earlier hinge and production concerns. Upcoming catalysts include confirmation of initial shipments and any last-minute adjustments to availability windows, which could influence market-implied odds for specific resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Apple’s September 9, 2026 announcement of the iPhone Duo foldable, priced from $1,999 with pre-orders starting October 16 and availability on October 23, serves as the dominant catalyst for trader sentiment on release timelines. The book-style device features a 7.6-inch inner display, reduced crease, titanium build, and Apple Pencil support, positioning it as a premium entrant against Samsung and Google foldables. Supply-chain reports and analyst commentary from Mark Gurman had built expectations for a fall 2026 debut alongside iPhone 18 models despite earlier hinge and production concerns. Upcoming catalysts include confirmation of initial shipments and any last-minute adjustments to availability windows, which could influence market-implied odds for specific resolution dates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Hidden code in the iOS 27 developer beta references foldable hardware features such as fold states and hinge angles, confirming Apple's foldable iPhone is in advanced development and supporting a 2026 launch timeline.
Sep 9 2026
Bloomberg reports foldable iPhone Ultra to launch September 9 with premium features and price
Bloomberg's Mark Gurman reported that Apple's foldable iPhone, internally called iPhone Ultra, will launch on September 9, 2026, featuring a titanium frame, crease-free display, and a starting price around $2,000, reinforcing market expectations for a premium foldable release.
Sep 9 2026
Apple unveils iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and first foldable iPhone at 'Surprise and Shine' event
Apple revealed its first foldable iPhone alongside the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max at the September 9 event, confirming the product's existence and imminent market availability, which was a pivotal moment for the market resolution.
Sep 9 2026
Mass production of foldable iPhone begins with Foxconn, supply constraints expected
Reports confirmed that Foxconn started trial and mass production of Apple's foldable iPhone in mid-2026, with supply constraints likely limiting initial availability, which could delay widespread sales until late 2026 or early 2027.
Sep 9 2026
Supply chain reports indicate limited initial availability of foldable iPhone, with US prioritized
December 31 rises to 99%4%
Supply chain sources reported that the foldable iPhone would have limited initial availability, prioritizing the US market with other regions like China facing delays, which could affect the timing of widespread purchase availability within 2026.
Aug 26 2026
Apple officially announces September 9 event to unveil iPhone 18 Pro and first foldable iPhone
September 9 plunges to 0%47%
Apple confirmed its September 9, 2026 event where it will unveil the iPhone 18 Pro lineup and its first foldable iPhone, signaling a major product launch and boosting market certainty about the foldable iPhone release.
Aug 2 2026
Analyst Jeff Pu reports Apple plans two foldable devices in 2026, including foldable iPhone in late 2026
Jeff Pu's research report highlighted Apple's plan to launch two foldable devices in 2026, with the foldable iPhone expected in late 2026 featuring a wrap-around foldable design. This report increased market confidence in a 2026 foldable iPhone release.
Jul 30 2026
Apple’s foldable iPhone production delay narrows but availability may slip to October or later
While mass production started in late July, reports indicated a potential gap between announcement and availability due to strict quality control, possibly pushing sales to October or later. This tempered some expectations but maintained confidence in a 2026 release.
Jul 26 2026
Apple’s foldable iPhone moves from rumor to mass-production sprint in June 2026
December 31 rises to 90%1%
Reports confirmed that Samsung Display is building foldable OLED panels and Foxconn is ramping up production volume in late July, with a September unveiling widely expected. This confirmed the production timeline and supported the market’s high confidence in a 2026 release.
Jul 13 2026
Momentum builds for Apple iPhone Ultra foldable debut in September 2026
December 31 rises to 90%2%
Multiple credible outlets reported growing momentum behind Apple's planned September 2026 launch of its foldable iPhone, possibly branded as iPhone Ultra, alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. This reinforced market expectations for a fall release.
Jun 30 2026
Reports suggest Apple foldable iPhone production delays but no launch postponement
December 31 dips to 82%3%
Despite some reports of hinge development challenges causing production delays, Apple has not officially delayed the foldable iPhone launch, maintaining expectations for availability by late 2026.
Jun 24 2026
Apple to start mass production of foldable iPhone in late July after hinge issues resolved
December 31 jumps to 90%5%
Reports from The Elec indicated Apple would begin mass production of its first foldable iPhone in late July 2026, with hinge manufacturing problems largely resolved. This development supported expectations of a September unveiling alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, boosting market confidence.
Jun 14 2026
Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo affirm September 2026 launch for Apple foldable iPhone
December 31 jumps to 91%5%
Prominent Apple analysts Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo reiterated that Apple’s foldable iPhone is set for a September 2026 launch, with production underway and the device positioned as a premium flagship.
May 13 2026
Supply chain reports confirm mass production ramp-up for Apple foldable iPhone
December 31 jumps to 88%5%
Reports indicated that Samsung Display and Foxconn are ramping up production of foldable OLED panels and assembly for Apple’s foldable iPhone, supporting expectations for a September 2026 launch and availability by year-end.
Apr 28 2026
Leaked details reveal Apple’s foldable iPhone with crease-free display and $2,000-$2,500 price
December 31 jumps to 88%8%
Leaked reports detailed Apple’s foldable iPhone design featuring a nearly crease-free display and premium materials, with a late 2026 release window and a high price point, signaling a cautious but confident market entry.
Apr 7 2026
Analyst suggests Apple iPhone Fold shipments may start in December 2026, delaying availability
December 31 dips to 80%1%
Barclays analyst Tim Long indicated that while Apple may announce the foldable iPhone in September 2026, shipments and availability to the public could be delayed until December 2026, introducing some uncertainty about immediate purchase availability.
Apr 7 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone remains on track for September 2026 launch alongside iPhone 18 Pro
December 31 rises to 81%1%
Bloomberg's Mark Gurman confirmed that despite earlier concerns about engineering challenges, Apple is still planning to launch its foldable iPhone in September 2026 with the iPhone 18 Pro lineup, bolstering market confidence in a timely release.
Apr 6 2026
Apple's iPhone Fold enters trial production phase ahead of 2026 launch
December 31 dips to 78%2%
Reports confirmed that Apple has started trial production of the foldable iPhone, a key step before mass production, indicating progress toward a 2026 launch though possibly later than September, supporting a December availability possibility.
Mar 11 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone mass production phase begins at Foxconn
December 31 rises to 87%3%
Industry analyst Jeff Pu reported that Apple's foldable iPhone entered the New Product Introduction phase at Foxconn in March 2025, with mass production expected in the second half of 2026, supporting the likelihood of a 2026 release.
Feb 20 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone expected to launch in 2026 with ambitious design and four cameras
December 31 jumps to 85%6%
Reports from Mark Gurman and others detailed Apple's plans for a foldable iPhone launching in 2026 featuring a book-style design, four cameras, a custom C2 modem, and a redesigned biometric system with Touch ID. This news increased market confidence in the product's release within the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s September 9, 2026 announcement of the iPhone Duo foldable, priced from $1,999 with pre-orders starting October 16 and availability on October 23, serves as the dominant catalyst for trader sentiment on release timelines. The book-style device features a 7.6-inch inner display, reduced crease, titanium build, and Apple Pencil support, positioning it as a premium entrant against Samsung and Google foldables. Supply-chain reports and analyst commentary from Mark Gurman had built expectations for a fall 2026 debut alongside iPhone 18 models despite earlier hinge and production concerns. Upcoming catalysts include confirmation of initial shipments and any last-minute adjustments to availability windows, which could influence market-implied odds for specific resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Apple’s September 9, 2026 announcement of the iPhone Duo foldable, priced from $1,999 with pre-orders starting October 16 and availability on October 23, serves as the dominant catalyst for trader sentiment on release timelines. The book-style device features a 7.6-inch inner display, reduced crease, titanium build, and Apple Pencil support, positioning it as a premium entrant against Samsung and Google foldables. Supply-chain reports and analyst commentary from Mark Gurman had built expectations for a fall 2026 debut alongside iPhone 18 models despite earlier hinge and production concerns. Upcoming catalysts include confirmation of initial shipments and any last-minute adjustments to availability windows, which could influence market-implied odds for specific resolution dates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Hidden code in the iOS 27 developer beta references foldable hardware features such as fold states and hinge angles, confirming Apple's foldable iPhone is in advanced development and supporting a 2026 launch timeline.
Sep 9 2026
Bloomberg reports foldable iPhone Ultra to launch September 9 with premium features and price
Bloomberg's Mark Gurman reported that Apple's foldable iPhone, internally called iPhone Ultra, will launch on September 9, 2026, featuring a titanium frame, crease-free display, and a starting price around $2,000, reinforcing market expectations for a premium foldable release.
Sep 9 2026
Apple unveils iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and first foldable iPhone at 'Surprise and Shine' event
Apple revealed its first foldable iPhone alongside the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max at the September 9 event, confirming the product's existence and imminent market availability, which was a pivotal moment for the market resolution.
Sep 9 2026
Mass production of foldable iPhone begins with Foxconn, supply constraints expected
Reports confirmed that Foxconn started trial and mass production of Apple's foldable iPhone in mid-2026, with supply constraints likely limiting initial availability, which could delay widespread sales until late 2026 or early 2027.
Sep 9 2026
Supply chain reports indicate limited initial availability of foldable iPhone, with US prioritized
December 31 rises to 99%4%
Supply chain sources reported that the foldable iPhone would have limited initial availability, prioritizing the US market with other regions like China facing delays, which could affect the timing of widespread purchase availability within 2026.
Aug 26 2026
Apple officially announces September 9 event to unveil iPhone 18 Pro and first foldable iPhone
September 9 plunges to 0%47%
Apple confirmed its September 9, 2026 event where it will unveil the iPhone 18 Pro lineup and its first foldable iPhone, signaling a major product launch and boosting market certainty about the foldable iPhone release.
Aug 2 2026
Analyst Jeff Pu reports Apple plans two foldable devices in 2026, including foldable iPhone in late 2026
Jeff Pu's research report highlighted Apple's plan to launch two foldable devices in 2026, with the foldable iPhone expected in late 2026 featuring a wrap-around foldable design. This report increased market confidence in a 2026 foldable iPhone release.
Jul 30 2026
Apple’s foldable iPhone production delay narrows but availability may slip to October or later
While mass production started in late July, reports indicated a potential gap between announcement and availability due to strict quality control, possibly pushing sales to October or later. This tempered some expectations but maintained confidence in a 2026 release.
Jul 26 2026
Apple’s foldable iPhone moves from rumor to mass-production sprint in June 2026
December 31 rises to 90%1%
Reports confirmed that Samsung Display is building foldable OLED panels and Foxconn is ramping up production volume in late July, with a September unveiling widely expected. This confirmed the production timeline and supported the market’s high confidence in a 2026 release.
Jul 13 2026
Momentum builds for Apple iPhone Ultra foldable debut in September 2026
December 31 rises to 90%2%
Multiple credible outlets reported growing momentum behind Apple's planned September 2026 launch of its foldable iPhone, possibly branded as iPhone Ultra, alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. This reinforced market expectations for a fall release.
Jun 30 2026
Reports suggest Apple foldable iPhone production delays but no launch postponement
December 31 dips to 82%3%
Despite some reports of hinge development challenges causing production delays, Apple has not officially delayed the foldable iPhone launch, maintaining expectations for availability by late 2026.
Jun 24 2026
Apple to start mass production of foldable iPhone in late July after hinge issues resolved
December 31 jumps to 90%5%
Reports from The Elec indicated Apple would begin mass production of its first foldable iPhone in late July 2026, with hinge manufacturing problems largely resolved. This development supported expectations of a September unveiling alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, boosting market confidence.
Jun 14 2026
Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo affirm September 2026 launch for Apple foldable iPhone
December 31 jumps to 91%5%
Prominent Apple analysts Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo reiterated that Apple’s foldable iPhone is set for a September 2026 launch, with production underway and the device positioned as a premium flagship.
May 13 2026
Supply chain reports confirm mass production ramp-up for Apple foldable iPhone
December 31 jumps to 88%5%
Reports indicated that Samsung Display and Foxconn are ramping up production of foldable OLED panels and assembly for Apple’s foldable iPhone, supporting expectations for a September 2026 launch and availability by year-end.
Apr 28 2026
Leaked details reveal Apple’s foldable iPhone with crease-free display and $2,000-$2,500 price
December 31 jumps to 88%8%
Leaked reports detailed Apple’s foldable iPhone design featuring a nearly crease-free display and premium materials, with a late 2026 release window and a high price point, signaling a cautious but confident market entry.
Apr 7 2026
Analyst suggests Apple iPhone Fold shipments may start in December 2026, delaying availability
December 31 dips to 80%1%
Barclays analyst Tim Long indicated that while Apple may announce the foldable iPhone in September 2026, shipments and availability to the public could be delayed until December 2026, introducing some uncertainty about immediate purchase availability.
Apr 7 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone remains on track for September 2026 launch alongside iPhone 18 Pro
December 31 rises to 81%1%
Bloomberg's Mark Gurman confirmed that despite earlier concerns about engineering challenges, Apple is still planning to launch its foldable iPhone in September 2026 with the iPhone 18 Pro lineup, bolstering market confidence in a timely release.
Apr 6 2026
Apple's iPhone Fold enters trial production phase ahead of 2026 launch
December 31 dips to 78%2%
Reports confirmed that Apple has started trial production of the foldable iPhone, a key step before mass production, indicating progress toward a 2026 launch though possibly later than September, supporting a December availability possibility.
Mar 11 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone mass production phase begins at Foxconn
December 31 rises to 87%3%
Industry analyst Jeff Pu reported that Apple's foldable iPhone entered the New Product Introduction phase at Foxconn in March 2025, with mass production expected in the second half of 2026, supporting the likelihood of a 2026 release.
Feb 20 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone expected to launch in 2026 with ambitious design and four cameras
December 31 jumps to 85%6%
Reports from Mark Gurman and others detailed Apple's plans for a foldable iPhone launching in 2026 featuring a book-style design, four cameras, a custom C2 modem, and a redesigned biometric system with Touch ID. This news increased market confidence in the product's release within the year.
"¿Apple lanzará un iPhone plegable antes de...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre" con 100%, seguido de "31 de octubre" con 99%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.
A día de hoy, "¿Apple lanzará un iPhone plegable antes de...?" ha generado $946.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 12, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "¿Apple lanzará un iPhone plegable antes de...?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.
El favorito actual para "¿Apple lanzará un iPhone plegable antes de...?" es "31 de diciembre" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "31 de octubre" con 99%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.
Las reglas de resolución para "¿Apple lanzará un iPhone plegable antes de...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como rastreador en vivo para "¿Apple lanzará un iPhone plegable antes de...?". Las probabilidades de los resultados se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que entran nuevas operaciones. Puedes guardar esta página en marcadores y consultar la sección de comentarios para ver lo que dicen otros operadores. También puedes usar los filtros de rango temporal en el gráfico para ver cómo han cambiado las probabilidades a lo largo del tiempo.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que ponen dinero real detrás de sus creencias, lo que tiende a generar predicciones precisas. Con $946.3K operados en “¿Apple lanzará un iPhone plegable antes de...?”, estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de miles de participantes — a menudo superando a encuestas, pronósticos de expertos y estudios tradicionales. Los mercados de predicción como Polymarket tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente cuando los eventos se acercan a su fecha de resolución. Por ejemplo, Polymarket tiene una puntuación de precisión a un mes de 94%. Para las últimas estadísticas sobre la precisión de predicción de Polymarket, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "¿Apple lanzará un iPhone plegable antes de...?", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y deposita fondos usando criptomonedas, tarjeta de crédito o débito, o transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta tenga fondos, vuelve a esta página, selecciona el resultado en el que quieras operar, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada resultado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 100¢ para "31 de diciembre" en el mercado "¿Apple lanzará un iPhone plegable antes de...?" significa que los operadores colectivamente creen que hay aproximadamente una probabilidad de 100% de que "31 de diciembre" sea el resultado correcto. Si compras acciones de "Sí" a 100¢ y el resultado es correcto, recibes $1,00 por acción, una ganancia de 0¢ por acción. Si es incorrecto, esas acciones valen $0.
El mercado "¿Apple lanzará un iPhone plegable antes de...?" está programado para resolverse en o alrededor del Dec 31, 2026. Esto significa que el trading permanecerá abierto y las probabilidades seguirán cambiando hasta esa fecha. El momento exacto de resolución depende de cuándo esté disponible el resultado oficial, como se describe en la sección "Reglas".
El mercado "¿Apple lanzará un iPhone plegable antes de...?" tiene una comunidad activa de 25 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten resultados y discuten los últimos desarrollos. Desplázate hacia abajo a la sección de comentarios para leer lo que piensan otros participantes. También puedes filtrar por "Principales poseedores" o consultar la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de operaciones.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y beneficiarte de tu conocimiento sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados de temas que van desde política y elecciones hasta criptomonedas, finanzas, deportes, tecnología y cultura, incluyendo mercados como "¿Apple lanzará un iPhone plegable antes de...?". Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real respaldadas por convicción financiera, ofreciendo a menudo señales más rápidas y precisas que las encuestas, los expertos o los estudios tradicionales.
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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