Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position as Venezuela’s interim president, having assumed the role in January 2026 after a U.S. operation removed Nicolás Maduro and the Supreme Tribunal of Justice designated her to ensure executive continuity. She retains backing from the military high command, the PSUV party apparatus, and her brother Jorge Rodríguez in the National Assembly, while engaging in U.S.-backed transition talks and limited opposition dialogue that have not yet produced scheduled elections. Trader consensus reflects the short timeline to year-end and the absence of any immediate institutional mechanism to displace her. Potential shifts could arise from accelerated election agreements, internal Chavista fractures, or abrupt changes in U.S. policy during the remaining months of 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoDelcy Rodríguez 92%
María Corina Machado 3.9%
Marco Rubio 1.4%
Sin Jefe de Estado <1%
$399,645 Vol.
$399,645 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
92%
María Corina Machado
4%
Marco Rubio
1%
Sin Jefe de Estado
1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Edmundo González
<1%
Nicolás Maduro
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 92%
María Corina Machado 3.9%
Marco Rubio 1.4%
Sin Jefe de Estado <1%
$399,645 Vol.
$399,645 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
$113,027 Vol.
92%
María Corina Machado
$53,452 Vol.
4%
Marco Rubio
$6,523 Vol.
1%
Sin Jefe de Estado
$67,180 Vol.
1%
Dinorah Figuera
$4,581 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$8,389 Vol.
<1%
Edmundo González
$4,128 Vol.
<1%
Nicolás Maduro
$4,407 Vol.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$3,574 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$2,926 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$68,170 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$7,309 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$3,349 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$3,037 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$42,216 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$7,378 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position as Venezuela’s interim president, having assumed the role in January 2026 after a U.S. operation removed Nicolás Maduro and the Supreme Tribunal of Justice designated her to ensure executive continuity. She retains backing from the military high command, the PSUV party apparatus, and her brother Jorge Rodríguez in the National Assembly, while engaging in U.S.-backed transition talks and limited opposition dialogue that have not yet produced scheduled elections. Trader consensus reflects the short timeline to year-end and the absence of any immediate institutional mechanism to displace her. Potential shifts could arise from accelerated election agreements, internal Chavista fractures, or abrupt changes in U.S. policy during the remaining months of 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Volumen
$399,645Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position as Venezuela’s interim president, having assumed the role in January 2026 after a U.S. operation removed Nicolás Maduro and the Supreme Tribunal of Justice designated her to ensure executive continuity. She retains backing from the military high command, the PSUV party apparatus, and her brother Jorge Rodríguez in the National Assembly, while engaging in U.S.-backed transition talks and limited opposition dialogue that have not yet produced scheduled elections. Trader consensus reflects the short timeline to year-end and the absence of any immediate institutional mechanism to displace her. Potential shifts could arise from accelerated election agreements, internal Chavista fractures, or abrupt changes in U.S. policy during the remaining months of 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Volumen
$399,645Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position as Venezuela’s interim president, having assumed the role in January 2026 after a U.S. operation removed Nicolás Maduro and the Supreme Tribunal of Justice designated her to ensure executive continuity. She retains backing from the military high command, the PSUV party apparatus, and her brother Jorge Rodríguez in the National Assembly, while engaging in U.S.-backed transition talks and limited opposition dialogue that have not yet produced scheduled elections. Trader consensus reflects the short timeline to year-end and the absence of any immediate institutional mechanism to displace her. Potential shifts could arise from accelerated election agreements, internal Chavista fractures, or abrupt changes in U.S. policy during the remaining months of 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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