Marcelo Castro (MDB) holds the edge in trader consensus for first place in Piauí's October 4, 2026, Senate election due to consistent polling leads as the incumbent backed by Governor Rafael Fonteles's coalition. Recent polls from June and later show him ahead of Ciro Nogueira (PP) and Júlio César (PSD), though margins remain narrow amid high undecided and blank/null shares. Ciro's elevated rejection rates limit his growth despite opposition strength, while Castro benefits from alignment with the federal government. Lula's September 9 campaign appearance in Teresina, explicitly endorsing Castro and Júlio César, reinforced coalition momentum and highlighted the contest's competitive structure, where second-vote dynamics and turnout among key blocs could still shift first-place probabilities before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElección Senado Piauí: 1er Lugar
Elección Senado Piauí: 1er Lugar
Marcelo Castro 53%
Ciro Nogueira 31%
Julio Cesar 16.0%
Alexandre Mariano <1%
$39,672 Vol.
$39,672 Vol.
Marcelo Castro
53%
Ciro Nogueira
31%
Julio Cesar
10%
Alexandre Mariano
<1%
Antônio Barros
<1%
Antônio José Lira
<1%
Cloves José
<1%
Danniel Rocha
<1%
Dionisio Carvalho
<1%
Francinaldo Leão
<1%
Jardenya Bezerra
<1%
Jorge Lopes
<1%
Maria Madalena Nunes
<1%
Missionário Evandro Craveiro
<1%
Pastor Sena
<1%
Pedro Laurentino
<1%
Tiago Junqueira
<1%
Toinho Dufrango
<1%
Major Paulo Roberto
<1%
Irmão Evandro Marques
<1%
Marcelo Castro 53%
Ciro Nogueira 31%
Julio Cesar 16.0%
Alexandre Mariano <1%
$39,672 Vol.
$39,672 Vol.
Marcelo Castro
53%
Ciro Nogueira
31%
Julio Cesar
10%
Alexandre Mariano
<1%
Antônio Barros
<1%
Antônio José Lira
<1%
Cloves José
<1%
Danniel Rocha
<1%
Dionisio Carvalho
<1%
Francinaldo Leão
<1%
Jardenya Bezerra
<1%
Jorge Lopes
<1%
Maria Madalena Nunes
<1%
Missionário Evandro Craveiro
<1%
Pastor Sena
<1%
Pedro Laurentino
<1%
Tiago Junqueira
<1%
Toinho Dufrango
<1%
Major Paulo Roberto
<1%
Irmão Evandro Marques
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Marcelo Castro (MDB) holds the edge in trader consensus for first place in Piauí's October 4, 2026, Senate election due to consistent polling leads as the incumbent backed by Governor Rafael Fonteles's coalition. Recent polls from June and later show him ahead of Ciro Nogueira (PP) and Júlio César (PSD), though margins remain narrow amid high undecided and blank/null shares. Ciro's elevated rejection rates limit his growth despite opposition strength, while Castro benefits from alignment with the federal government. Lula's September 9 campaign appearance in Teresina, explicitly endorsing Castro and Júlio César, reinforced coalition momentum and highlighted the contest's competitive structure, where second-vote dynamics and turnout among key blocs could still shift first-place probabilities before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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