OpenAI’s path to an IPO remains anchored to CEO Sam Altman’s $1 trillion valuation target, well above the $852 billion post-money mark from its March 2026 funding round that raised roughly $122 billion. The company filed a confidential S-1 in June but has since deferred any 2026 listing, with CFO Sarah Friar confirming in August that a public debut is expected in 2027 unless revenue inflects sharply higher. Monthly revenue now runs near $2 billion, supporting a $24 billion annualized pace, yet the firm projects a $14 billion operating loss for 2026 and breakeven only around 2030. Recent volatility in peer listings, notably SpaceX’s post-IPO share decline, has tempered near-term market appetite and reinforced the preference for stronger fundamentals before pricing. Traders are monitoring any public S-1 filing or updated guidance for signals on timing and achievable valuation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1,530,887 Vol.
$1,530,887 Vol.
30 dic 2027
$800 mil millones
93%
1 billón de dólares
95%
$1,2 billones
92%
1,4 billones de dólares
90%
$1.6 billones
75%
$1,530,887 Vol.
$1,530,887 Vol.
30 dic 2027
$800 mil millones
$110,877 Vol.
93%
1 billón de dólares
$1,049,378 Vol.
95%
$1,2 billones
$249,448 Vol.
92%
1,4 billones de dólares
$69,355 Vol.
90%
$1.6 billones
$51,829 Vol.
75%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s path to an IPO remains anchored to CEO Sam Altman’s $1 trillion valuation target, well above the $852 billion post-money mark from its March 2026 funding round that raised roughly $122 billion. The company filed a confidential S-1 in June but has since deferred any 2026 listing, with CFO Sarah Friar confirming in August that a public debut is expected in 2027 unless revenue inflects sharply higher. Monthly revenue now runs near $2 billion, supporting a $24 billion annualized pace, yet the firm projects a $14 billion operating loss for 2026 and breakeven only around 2030. Recent volatility in peer listings, notably SpaceX’s post-IPO share decline, has tempered near-term market appetite and reinforced the preference for stronger fundamentals before pricing. Traders are monitoring any public S-1 filing or updated guidance for signals on timing and achievable valuation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volumen
$1,530,887Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s path to an IPO remains anchored to CEO Sam Altman’s $1 trillion valuation target, well above the $852 billion post-money mark from its March 2026 funding round that raised roughly $122 billion. The company filed a confidential S-1 in June but has since deferred any 2026 listing, with CFO Sarah Friar confirming in August that a public debut is expected in 2027 unless revenue inflects sharply higher. Monthly revenue now runs near $2 billion, supporting a $24 billion annualized pace, yet the firm projects a $14 billion operating loss for 2026 and breakeven only around 2030. Recent volatility in peer listings, notably SpaceX’s post-IPO share decline, has tempered near-term market appetite and reinforced the preference for stronger fundamentals before pricing. Traders are monitoring any public S-1 filing or updated guidance for signals on timing and achievable valuation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Volumen
$1,530,887Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s path to an IPO remains anchored to CEO Sam Altman’s $1 trillion valuation target, well above the $852 billion post-money mark from its March 2026 funding round that raised roughly $122 billion. The company filed a confidential S-1 in June but has since deferred any 2026 listing, with CFO Sarah Friar confirming in August that a public debut is expected in 2027 unless revenue inflects sharply higher. Monthly revenue now runs near $2 billion, supporting a $24 billion annualized pace, yet the firm projects a $14 billion operating loss for 2026 and breakeven only around 2030. Recent volatility in peer listings, notably SpaceX’s post-IPO share decline, has tempered near-term market appetite and reinforced the preference for stronger fundamentals before pricing. Traders are monitoring any public S-1 filing or updated guidance for signals on timing and achievable valuation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿La capitalización de mercado de OpenAI será de $1.5 billones o más al cierre del mercado en el día de su OPI antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027?
81%
Sí
¿OpenAI no realizará una OPV antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?
93%
Sí
¿SpaceX u OpenAI tendrá mayor capitalización de mercado en su salida a bolsa?
54%
SpaceX
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes