Incumbent Republican Jim Jordan holds a commanding position in Ohio's 4th congressional district due to its consistent R+18 to R+21 partisan lean, evidenced by large Republican margins in recent presidential and statewide races. Jordan secured renomination without opposition in the May primary and maintains strong name recognition after representing the area since 2007. The Democratic nominee, Joshua Kolasinski, faces structural barriers in a district where fundamentals and historical voting patterns heavily favor the GOP. Trader consensus reflects these entrenched advantages ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in current assessments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-04
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-04
$21,440 Vol.
$21,440 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jim Jordan (R)
95%
Joshua Kolasinski (D)
5%
$21,440 Vol.
$21,440 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jim Jordan (R)
$9,547 Vol.
95%
Joshua Kolasinski (D)
$11,892 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jim Jordan holds a commanding position in Ohio's 4th congressional district due to its consistent R+18 to R+21 partisan lean, evidenced by large Republican margins in recent presidential and statewide races. Jordan secured renomination without opposition in the May primary and maintains strong name recognition after representing the area since 2007. The Democratic nominee, Joshua Kolasinski, faces structural barriers in a district where fundamentals and historical voting patterns heavily favor the GOP. Trader consensus reflects these entrenched advantages ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in current assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$21,440Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jim Jordan holds a commanding position in Ohio's 4th congressional district due to its consistent R+18 to R+21 partisan lean, evidenced by large Republican margins in recent presidential and statewide races. Jordan secured renomination without opposition in the May primary and maintains strong name recognition after representing the area since 2007. The Democratic nominee, Joshua Kolasinski, faces structural barriers in a district where fundamentals and historical voting patterns heavily favor the GOP. Trader consensus reflects these entrenched advantages ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in current assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$21,440Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jim Jordan holds a commanding position in Ohio's 4th congressional district due to its consistent R+18 to R+21 partisan lean, evidenced by large Republican margins in recent presidential and statewide races. Jordan secured renomination without opposition in the May primary and maintains strong name recognition after representing the area since 2007. The Democratic nominee, Joshua Kolasinski, faces structural barriers in a district where fundamentals and historical voting patterns heavily favor the GOP. Trader consensus reflects these entrenched advantages ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in current assessments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes