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icon for MLB: ERA Leader

MLB: ERA Leader

icon for MLB: ERA Leader

MLB: ERA Leader

Brayan Bello 3.6%

Max Fried 3.5%

Yoshinobu Yamamoto 3.4%

Dylan Cease 3.1%

Polymarket

$1,767,150 Vol.

Brayan Bello 3.6%

Max Fried 3.5%

Yoshinobu Yamamoto 3.4%

Dylan Cease 3.1%

Polymarket

$1,767,150 Vol.

Brayan Bello

$653 Vol.

4%

Max Fried

$107 Vol.

4%

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

$1,891 Vol.

3%

Dylan Cease

$8,109 Vol.

3%

Tarik Skubal

$572 Vol.

3%

Nick Pivetta

$315 Vol.

3%

Hunter Brown

$661 Vol.

2%

Garrett Crochet

$323 Vol.

2%

Shohei Ohtani

$9,650 Vol.

2%

Paul Skenes

$2,966 Vol.

2%

Bryan Woo

$629,734 Vol.

1%

Taj Bradley

$348 Vol.

1%

Bryce Elder

$308 Vol.

1%

Nolan McLean

$341 Vol.

1%

Logan Webb

$460 Vol.

1%

Michael Wacha

$348 Vol.

1%

José Soriano

$1,833 Vol.

1%

Carmen Mlodzinski

$471 Vol.

1%

Eduardo Rodriguez

$1,018 Vol.

1%

Clay Holmes

$329 Vol.

1%

Freddy Peralta

$307 Vol.

1%

Chad Patrick

$291 Vol.

1%

Seth Lugo

$468 Vol.

<1%

Jeffrey Springs

$1,092,633 Vol.

<1%

Connelly Early

$308 Vol.

<1%

Reynaldo López

$317 Vol.

<1%

Matthew Boyd

$394 Vol.

<1%

Emerson Hancock

$427 Vol.

<1%

Joe Ryan

$230 Vol.

<1%

Andrew Abbott

$957 Vol.

<1%

Gavin Williams

$328 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Rodón

$224 Vol.

<1%

Cristopher Sánchez

$8,686 Vol.

<1%

Merrill Kelly

$407 Vol.

<1%

Jacob deGrom

$738 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**With roughly three weeks left in the 2026 regular season, the ERA title remains highly fluid.** Current leaders like Shohei Ohtani (1.79 ERA in 85.2 IP) and Ben Brown (1.85 in 68 IP) post elite marks but trail in innings, raising qualification risks under standard minimums around 162 IP. Jacob Misiorowski (1.95 ERA, 161.1 IP) combines strong peripherals and volume, while names like Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Cristopher Sánchez, and Dylan Cease sit close behind with favorable recent form and deeper workloads. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with no pitcher commanding more than low-single-digit implied probability amid shifting rotations, bullpen usage, and the potential for late surges or injuries to alter the leaderboard.

This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,767,150
Fecha de finalización
28 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 4:53 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**With roughly three weeks left in the 2026 regular season, the ERA title remains highly fluid.** Current leaders like Shohei Ohtani (1.79 ERA in 85.2 IP) and Ben Brown (1.85 in 68 IP) post elite marks but trail in innings, raising qualification risks under standard minimums around 162 IP. Jacob Misiorowski (1.95 ERA, 161.1 IP) combines strong peripherals and volume, while names like Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Cristopher Sánchez, and Dylan Cease sit close behind with favorable recent form and deeper workloads. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with no pitcher commanding more than low-single-digit implied probability amid shifting rotations, bullpen usage, and the potential for late surges or injuries to alter the leaderboard.

This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,767,150
Fecha de finalización
28 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 4:53 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"MLB: ERA Leader" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Brayan Bello" con 4%, seguido de "Max Fried" con 4%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 4¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 4% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "MLB: ERA Leader" ha generado $1.8 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 22, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "MLB: ERA Leader", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "MLB: ERA Leader" es "Brayan Bello" con solo 4%, con "Max Fried" muy cerca con 4%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "MLB: ERA Leader" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.