The 2026 AL pennant race remains tightly contested entering the final weeks, with the Rays holding the AL East lead at 89-59 while the Yankees sit four games back at 85-63 and the Red Sox trail by 8.5. New York's strong run differential and recent hot streak, bolstered by Aaron Judge's return, underpin trader consensus around their 25.5% implied probability, though Tampa Bay's division-clinching momentum keeps them close at 21.6%. The White Sox (76-72) and Guardians (75-74) battle in the AL Central, while the Astros (75-74) lead the West, creating multiple realistic paths through the expanded playoffs. This bunched field of contenders with solid records and favorable remaining schedules reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in balanced postseason upside across the top six teams.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMLB: 2026 Campeón de la Liga Americana
New York Yankees 26%
Tampa Bay Rays 21.9%
Boston Red Sox 12.9%
Houston Astros 10.9%
$4,350,761 Vol.
$4,350,761 Vol.
New York Yankees
26%
Tampa Bay Rays
22%
Boston Red Sox
13%
Houston Astros
11%
Chicago White Sox
10%
Cleveland Guardians
7%
Toronto Blue Jays
4%
Texas Rangers
2%
Seattle Mariners
1%
Detroit Tigers
1%
Baltimore Orioles
<1%
Kansas City Royals
<1%
Minnesota Twins
<1%
New York Yankees 26%
Tampa Bay Rays 21.9%
Boston Red Sox 12.9%
Houston Astros 10.9%
$4,350,761 Vol.
$4,350,761 Vol.
New York Yankees
26%
Tampa Bay Rays
22%
Boston Red Sox
13%
Houston Astros
11%
Chicago White Sox
10%
Cleveland Guardians
7%
Toronto Blue Jays
4%
Texas Rangers
2%
Seattle Mariners
1%
Detroit Tigers
1%
Baltimore Orioles
<1%
Kansas City Royals
<1%
Minnesota Twins
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 AL pennant race remains tightly contested entering the final weeks, with the Rays holding the AL East lead at 89-59 while the Yankees sit four games back at 85-63 and the Red Sox trail by 8.5. New York's strong run differential and recent hot streak, bolstered by Aaron Judge's return, underpin trader consensus around their 25.5% implied probability, though Tampa Bay's division-clinching momentum keeps them close at 21.6%. The White Sox (76-72) and Guardians (75-74) battle in the AL Central, while the Astros (75-74) lead the West, creating multiple realistic paths through the expanded playoffs. This bunched field of contenders with solid records and favorable remaining schedules reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in balanced postseason upside across the top six teams.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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