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icon for ¿Khamenei # publica del 18 al 25 de septiembre de 2026?

¿Khamenei # publica del 18 al 25 de septiembre de 2026?

icon for ¿Khamenei # publica del 18 al 25 de septiembre de 2026?

¿Khamenei # publica del 18 al 25 de septiembre de 2026?

<5 98.2%

5-9 3.1%

40-44 <1%

45-49 <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<5 98.2%

5-9 3.1%

40-44 <1%

45-49 <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<5

$1,369 Vol.

98%

5-9

$84 Vol.

3%

10-14

$720 Vol.

1%

15-19

$611 Vol.

1%

20-24

$491 Vol.

1%

25-29

$562 Vol.

1%

30-34

$507 Vol.

1%

35-39

$575 Vol.

1%

40-44

$380 Vol.

1%

45-49

$486 Vol.

1%

50-54

$486 Vol.

1%

55-59

$424 Vol.

1%

Más de 60

$415 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The market shows overwhelming trader consensus on fewer than five posts from the @khamenei_ir account during the September 18–25 window, reflecting the account’s established low-volume pattern.** Following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death earlier in 2026, the verified handle has shifted to archival quotes, commemorative media, and statements from the office of the martyred leader rather than frequent original content. Historical tracking indicates an average of roughly three posts per day in prior periods, but recent activity has remained sparse outside major events, supporting the narrow bracket. The office’s focus on scheduled religious or historical observances rather than daily commentary further anchors expectations. A sudden regional crisis, high-profile diplomatic development, or internal Iranian political announcement could prompt additional posts and narrow the gap, though no such catalyst appears imminent within the remaining resolution days.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$7,110
Fecha de finalización
25 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The market shows overwhelming trader consensus on fewer than five posts from the @khamenei_ir account during the September 18–25 window, reflecting the account’s established low-volume pattern.** Following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death earlier in 2026, the verified handle has shifted to archival quotes, commemorative media, and statements from the office of the martyred leader rather than frequent original content. Historical tracking indicates an average of roughly three posts per day in prior periods, but recent activity has remained sparse outside major events, supporting the narrow bracket. The office’s focus on scheduled religious or historical observances rather than daily commentary further anchors expectations. A sudden regional crisis, high-profile diplomatic development, or internal Iranian political announcement could prompt additional posts and narrow the gap, though no such catalyst appears imminent within the remaining resolution days.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$7,110
Fecha de finalización
25 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Khamenei # publica del 18 al 25 de septiembre de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<5" con 98%, seguido de "5-9" con 3%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 98¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Khamenei # publica del 18 al 25 de septiembre de 2026?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 15, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Khamenei # publica del 18 al 25 de septiembre de 2026?", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Khamenei # publica del 18 al 25 de septiembre de 2026?" es "<5" con 98%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "5-9" con 3%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Khamenei # publica del 18 al 25 de septiembre de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.