Guinea-Bissau’s December 6, 2026, legislative election unfolds under a military-led transitional government following the November 2025 coup, with a new constitution approved in the August 30 referendum reshaping the contest. The charter expands presidential authority to appoint and dismiss the prime minister and cabinet, dissolves parliament in crises, and reduces National People’s Assembly seats from 102 to 65 while consolidating constituencies to 12. Main opposition groups boycotted the referendum, and recent junta orders requiring parties to relocate offices away from state institutions add procedural pressure. In this fragmented field, trader pricing reflects divided support across smaller platforms and alliances, with no dominant bloc yet emerging and outcomes sensitive to turnout, candidate eligibility rules, and any last-minute adjustments to the transition timetable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Popular Nacional de Guinea-Bissau
Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Popular Nacional de Guinea-Bissau
FREPASNA 19.7%
PT 10.8%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 7.0%
FLING 4.2%
$159,968 Vol.
$159,968 Vol.
22 nov 2025
FREPASNA
20%
PT
11%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
29%
FLING
4%
PS
4%
MUNDO-GB
3%
FREPASNA 19.7%
PT 10.8%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 7.0%
FLING 4.2%
$159,968 Vol.
$159,968 Vol.
22 nov 2025
FREPASNA
$26,786 Vol.
20%
PT
$22,046 Vol.
11%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
$48,823 Vol.
29%
FLING
$13,132 Vol.
4%
PS
$26,296 Vol.
4%
MUNDO-GB
$22,884 Vol.
3%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s December 6, 2026, legislative election unfolds under a military-led transitional government following the November 2025 coup, with a new constitution approved in the August 30 referendum reshaping the contest. The charter expands presidential authority to appoint and dismiss the prime minister and cabinet, dissolves parliament in crises, and reduces National People’s Assembly seats from 102 to 65 while consolidating constituencies to 12. Main opposition groups boycotted the referendum, and recent junta orders requiring parties to relocate offices away from state institutions add procedural pressure. In this fragmented field, trader pricing reflects divided support across smaller platforms and alliances, with no dominant bloc yet emerging and outcomes sensitive to turnout, candidate eligibility rules, and any last-minute adjustments to the transition timetable.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Mercado abierto: Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
Volumen
$159,968Fecha de finalización
23 nov 2025Mercado abierto
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s December 6, 2026, legislative election unfolds under a military-led transitional government following the November 2025 coup, with a new constitution approved in the August 30 referendum reshaping the contest. The charter expands presidential authority to appoint and dismiss the prime minister and cabinet, dissolves parliament in crises, and reduces National People’s Assembly seats from 102 to 65 while consolidating constituencies to 12. Main opposition groups boycotted the referendum, and recent junta orders requiring parties to relocate offices away from state institutions add procedural pressure. In this fragmented field, trader pricing reflects divided support across smaller platforms and alliances, with no dominant bloc yet emerging and outcomes sensitive to turnout, candidate eligibility rules, and any last-minute adjustments to the transition timetable.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Volumen
$159,968Fecha de finalización
23 nov 2025Mercado abierto
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Guinea-Bissau’s December 6, 2026, legislative election unfolds under a military-led transitional government following the November 2025 coup, with a new constitution approved in the August 30 referendum reshaping the contest. The charter expands presidential authority to appoint and dismiss the prime minister and cabinet, dissolves parliament in crises, and reduces National People’s Assembly seats from 102 to 65 while consolidating constituencies to 12. Main opposition groups boycotted the referendum, and recent junta orders requiring parties to relocate offices away from state institutions add procedural pressure. In this fragmented field, trader pricing reflects divided support across smaller platforms and alliances, with no dominant bloc yet emerging and outcomes sensitive to turnout, candidate eligibility rules, and any last-minute adjustments to the transition timetable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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