**Incumbent Republican Rick Allen faces Democrat Ceretta Smith in Georgia’s 12th congressional district on November 3, 2026.** The district carries an R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index and is rated Solid Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Allen secured his party’s nomination with 83.4% in the May primary, while Smith emerged from the Democratic primary runoff. Allen’s 2024 general-election margin exceeded 20 points in this central-east Georgia seat anchored around Augusta. These structural factors and the absence of recent developments that would tighten the race underpin trader consensus that a candidate will clear 50% on the first ballot, avoiding the December 1 runoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
95% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 mar 2027
Sí
95% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 mar 2027
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.**Incumbent Republican Rick Allen faces Democrat Ceretta Smith in Georgia’s 12th congressional district on November 3, 2026.**
The district carries an R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index and is rated Solid Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Allen secured his party’s nomination with 83.4% in the May primary, while Smith emerged from the Democratic primary runoff. Allen’s 2024 general-election margin exceeded 20 points in this central-east Georgia seat anchored around Augusta. These structural factors and the absence of recent developments that would tighten the race underpin trader consensus that a candidate will clear 50% on the first ballot, avoiding the December 1 runoff.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Volumen
$319Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2027Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.**Incumbent Republican Rick Allen faces Democrat Ceretta Smith in Georgia’s 12th congressional district on November 3, 2026.**
The district carries an R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index and is rated Solid Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Allen secured his party’s nomination with 83.4% in the May primary, while Smith emerged from the Democratic primary runoff. Allen’s 2024 general-election margin exceeded 20 points in this central-east Georgia seat anchored around Augusta. These structural factors and the absence of recent developments that would tighten the race underpin trader consensus that a candidate will clear 50% on the first ballot, avoiding the December 1 runoff.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.
Volumen
$319Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2027Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Incumbent Republican Rick Allen faces Democrat Ceretta Smith in Georgia’s 12th congressional district on November 3, 2026.** The district carries an R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index and is rated Solid Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Allen secured his party’s nomination with 83.4% in the May primary, while Smith emerged from the Democratic primary runoff. Allen’s 2024 general-election margin exceeded 20 points in this central-east Georgia seat anchored around Augusta. These structural factors and the absence of recent developments that would tighten the race underpin trader consensus that a candidate will clear 50% on the first ballot, avoiding the December 1 runoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes