The GA-11 race features an open seat after incumbent Barry Loudermilk’s retirement, with Republican nominee John Cowan facing Democrat Chris Harden and two independents on the November 3 ballot. Georgia’s majority requirement means a December runoff occurs if no candidate exceeds 50 percent. The district’s R+12 partisan lean and prior Republican margins above 65 percent support trader expectations of an outright winner, yet the additional candidates create a modest risk of vote splitting that could force a second round. Recent ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others remain Solid or Safe Republican, with no major late shifts reported in the past month.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
0% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 mar 2027
Sí
0% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 mar 2027
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.The GA-11 race features an open seat after incumbent Barry Loudermilk’s retirement, with Republican nominee John Cowan facing Democrat Chris Harden and two independents on the November 3 ballot. Georgia’s majority requirement means a December runoff occurs if no candidate exceeds 50 percent. The district’s R+12 partisan lean and prior Republican margins above 65 percent support trader expectations of an outright winner, yet the additional candidates create a modest risk of vote splitting that could force a second round. Recent ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others remain Solid or Safe Republican, with no major late shifts reported in the past month.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Volumen
$393Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2027Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.The GA-11 race features an open seat after incumbent Barry Loudermilk’s retirement, with Republican nominee John Cowan facing Democrat Chris Harden and two independents on the November 3 ballot. Georgia’s majority requirement means a December runoff occurs if no candidate exceeds 50 percent. The district’s R+12 partisan lean and prior Republican margins above 65 percent support trader expectations of an outright winner, yet the additional candidates create a modest risk of vote splitting that could force a second round. Recent ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others remain Solid or Safe Republican, with no major late shifts reported in the past month.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
Volumen
$393Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2027Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The GA-11 race features an open seat after incumbent Barry Loudermilk’s retirement, with Republican nominee John Cowan facing Democrat Chris Harden and two independents on the November 3 ballot. Georgia’s majority requirement means a December runoff occurs if no candidate exceeds 50 percent. The district’s R+12 partisan lean and prior Republican margins above 65 percent support trader expectations of an outright winner, yet the additional candidates create a modest risk of vote splitting that could force a second round. Recent ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others remain Solid or Safe Republican, with no major late shifts reported in the past month.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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