Cilia Flores has remained in U.S. federal pretrial detention at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center since her January 2026 capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. operation in Caracas. Both face drug trafficking and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, with a trial scheduled for mid-2027. In early September 2026, her attorneys filed a motion seeking transfer to strict home confinement within the Manhattan court district, citing a documented decline in her cardiac health—including weight loss, sleep disruption, and recommendations for catheterization—that detention conditions allegedly cannot adequately address. Federal prosecutors oppose the request, which includes 24-hour armed surveillance, GPS monitoring, and other restrictions. Judge Alvin K. Hellerstein has not ruled, while separate defense motions challenge the charges on sovereign immunity grounds. Traders monitor the pending judicial decision, any diplomatic signals, and procedural timelines as the primary near-term drivers of release probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, liberada de la custodia por...?
¿La esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, liberada de la custodia por...?
$1,378,947 Vol.
30 ene 2026
31 de diciembre
13%
$1,378,947 Vol.
31 de diciembre
$332,345 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores has remained in U.S. federal pretrial detention at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center since her January 2026 capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. operation in Caracas. Both face drug trafficking and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, with a trial scheduled for mid-2027. In early September 2026, her attorneys filed a motion seeking transfer to strict home confinement within the Manhattan court district, citing a documented decline in her cardiac health—including weight loss, sleep disruption, and recommendations for catheterization—that detention conditions allegedly cannot adequately address. Federal prosecutors oppose the request, which includes 24-hour armed surveillance, GPS monitoring, and other restrictions. Judge Alvin K. Hellerstein has not ruled, while separate defense motions challenge the charges on sovereign immunity grounds. Traders monitor the pending judicial decision, any diplomatic signals, and procedural timelines as the primary near-term drivers of release probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Volumen
$1,378,947Fecha de finalización
31 ene 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores has remained in U.S. federal pretrial detention at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center since her January 2026 capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. operation in Caracas. Both face drug trafficking and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, with a trial scheduled for mid-2027. In early September 2026, her attorneys filed a motion seeking transfer to strict home confinement within the Manhattan court district, citing a documented decline in her cardiac health—including weight loss, sleep disruption, and recommendations for catheterization—that detention conditions allegedly cannot adequately address. Federal prosecutors oppose the request, which includes 24-hour armed surveillance, GPS monitoring, and other restrictions. Judge Alvin K. Hellerstein has not ruled, while separate defense motions challenge the charges on sovereign immunity grounds. Traders monitor the pending judicial decision, any diplomatic signals, and procedural timelines as the primary near-term drivers of release probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,378,947Fecha de finalización
31 ene 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores has remained in U.S. federal pretrial detention at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center since her January 2026 capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. operation in Caracas. Both face drug trafficking and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, with a trial scheduled for mid-2027. In early September 2026, her attorneys filed a motion seeking transfer to strict home confinement within the Manhattan court district, citing a documented decline in her cardiac health—including weight loss, sleep disruption, and recommendations for catheterization—that detention conditions allegedly cannot adequately address. Federal prosecutors oppose the request, which includes 24-hour armed surveillance, GPS monitoring, and other restrictions. Judge Alvin K. Hellerstein has not ruled, while separate defense motions challenge the charges on sovereign immunity grounds. Traders monitor the pending judicial decision, any diplomatic signals, and procedural timelines as the primary near-term drivers of release probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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